Scoreo

Dock Sud vs Deportivo CamionerosPrimera B Metropolitana 2026

8/22/2026Primera B MetropolitanaPrimera B Metropolitana · Round 31Estadio de los Inmigrantes
42%
Deportivo Camioneros
model favours
27%31%42%

Dock Sud score first in only 25% of matches

brightest fact of this match

0–1
likely score
70%
under 2.5 goals
37%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Dock Sud27%
×Draw31%
Deportivo Camioneros42%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dock Sud
0.82
Deportivo Camioneros
1.10

Deportivo Camioneros creates 34% more chances

Season form · 87 home / 13 away

creates per match

Dock Sud
1.18
Deportivo Camioneros
1.15

allows per match

Dock Sud
1.06
Deportivo Camioneros
0.46

finishing

Dock Sud+0.00on par
Deportivo Camioneros+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Under
  • Under70
  • Over30

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

63%No
  • No63
  • Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dock Sud

Deportivo Camioneros
0
1
2
3
4
0
0015%
0116%
029%
033%
041%
1
1012%
1113%
127%
133%
141%
2
205%
215%
223%
231%
240%
3
301%
311%
321%
330%
340%
4
400%
410%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 0–1 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
85%15%1.5
57%43%2.5
30%70%3.5
13%87%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Dock Sud or draw
58%
Dock Sud or Deportivo Camioneros
69%
Draw or Deportivo Camioneros
73%

Winning margin

Dock Sud wins by 2+
9%
Deportivo Camioneros wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Dock Sud 1+ goals
56%
Dock Sud 2+ goals
20%
Dock Sud 3+ goals
5%
Deportivo Camioneros 1+ goals
67%
Deportivo Camioneros 2+ goals
30%
Deportivo Camioneros 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Dock Sud (draw refunded)
39%
Deportivo Camioneros (draw refunded)
61%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
24%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dock Sud at homecreates 1.18, concedes 1.06 · 87 matches

Deportivo Camioneros awaycreates 1.15, concedes 0.46 · 13 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dock Sud attack 1.18 + Deportivo Camioneros defence 0.46 → ÷2 → 0.82

Deportivo Camioneros attack 1.15 + Dock Sud defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Dock Sud scores more
27%
level
31%
Deportivo Camioneros scores more
42%

Deportivo Camioneros at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Deportivo Camioneros will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Deportivo Camioneros have scored in 7 games running
  • 67% of Dock Sud’s matches stay under 2.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Sud
WDLWD
Camioneros
WWLWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Dock Sud host Deportivo Camioneros

August 22, 2026: Dock Sud take on Deportivo Camioneros in Primera B Metropolitana. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Dock Sud host Deportivo Camioneros at Estadio de los Inmigrantes.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.