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Dock Sud vs Comunicaciones — Primera B Metropolitana 2026

Dock Sud
Dock Sud
Preview
20:00
Comunicaciones
Comunicaciones
9/5/2026Primera B MetropolitanaPrimera B Metropolitana · Round 34Estadio de los Inmigrantes
Big match
40%
Dock Sud
model favours
40%29%32%

Dock Sud score first in only 25% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
62%
under 2.5 goals
45%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 87+ matches

Dock Sud40%
×Draw29%
Comunicaciones32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dock Sud
1.19
Comunicaciones
1.03

Dock Sud creates 16% more chances

Season form · 87 home / 139 away

creates per match

Dock Sud
1.18
Comunicaciones
1.00

allows per match

Dock Sud
1.06
Comunicaciones
1.19

finishing

Dock Sud+0.00on par
Comunicaciones+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Under
  • Under62
  • Over38

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

55%No
  • No55
  • Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dock Sud ↓

Comunicaciones →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–111%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
65%35%2.5
38%62%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Dock Sud or draw
68%
Dock Sud or Comunicaciones
71%
Draw or Comunicaciones
60%

Winning margin

Dock Sud wins by 2+
17%
Comunicaciones wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Dock Sud 1+ goals
70%
Dock Sud 2+ goals
33%
Dock Sud 3+ goals
12%
Comunicaciones 1+ goals
64%
Comunicaciones 2+ goals
28%
Comunicaciones 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Dock Sud (draw refunded)
56%
Comunicaciones (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dock Sud at home — creates 1.18, concedes 1.06 · 87 matches

Comunicaciones away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.19 · 139 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dock Sud attack 1.18 + Comunicaciones defence 1.19 → ÷2 → 1.19

Comunicaciones attack 1.00 + Dock Sud defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.03

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Dock Sud scores more
40%
level
29%
Comunicaciones scores more
32%

Dock Sud at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Dock Sud will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Comunicaciones score first in only 25% of matches
  • 67% of Dock Sud’s matches stay under 2.5 goals
  • 32% of Comunicaciones’s goals come after the 75th minute

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Sud
WDLWD
Comunicaciones
WDWLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Dock Sud vs Comunicaciones — Match Preview

Dock Sud face Comunicaciones on September 5, 2026 in this Primera B Metropolitana fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Dock Sud host Comunicaciones at Estadio de los Inmigrantes.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.