Scoreo

Dobrudzha vs Yantra 2019Second League 2018

8/15/2026Second LeagueSecond League · Round 4Druzhba
Big match
46%
Dobrudzha
model favours
46%28%26%

Yantra 2019 score first in only 20% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
61%
under 2.5 goals
44%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 100+ matches

Dobrudzha46%
×Draw28%
Yantra 201926%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dobrudzha
1.32
Yantra 2019
0.92

Dobrudzha creates 43% more chances

Season form · 100 home / 100 away

creates per match

Dobrudzha
1.43
Yantra 2019
0.95

allows per match

Dobrudzha
0.89
Yantra 2019
1.21

finishing

Dobrudzha+0.00on par
Yantra 2019+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Under
  • Under61
  • Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

56%No
  • No56
  • Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dobrudzha

Yantra 2019
0
1
2
3
4
0
0011%
0110%
025%
031%
040%
1
1014%
1113%
126%
132%
140%
2
209%
219%
224%
231%
240%
3
304%
314%
322%
331%
340%
4
401%
411%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
65%35%2.5
39%61%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Dobrudzha or draw
74%
Dobrudzha or Yantra 2019
72%
Draw or Yantra 2019
54%

Winning margin

Dobrudzha wins by 2+
21%
Yantra 2019 wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Dobrudzha 1+ goals
73%
Dobrudzha 2+ goals
38%
Dobrudzha 3+ goals
15%
Yantra 2019 1+ goals
60%
Yantra 2019 2+ goals
23%
Yantra 2019 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Dobrudzha (draw refunded)
64%
Yantra 2019 (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dobrudzha at homecreates 1.43, concedes 0.89 · 100 matches

Yantra 2019 awaycreates 0.95, concedes 1.21 · 100 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dobrudzha attack 1.43 + Yantra 2019 defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.32

Yantra 2019 attack 0.95 + Dobrudzha defence 0.89 → ÷2 → 0.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Dobrudzha scores more
46%
level
28%
Yantra 2019 scores more
26%

Dobrudzha at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Dobrudzha will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in 80% of Yantra 2019’s matches
  • 70% of Yantra 2019’s matches stay under 2.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Dobrudzha
LDDDL
2019
DLWLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Dobrudzha host Yantra 2019

August 15, 2026: Dobrudzha take on Yantra 2019 in Second League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Dobrudzha host Yantra 2019 at Druzhba.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.