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Dinamo Moskva II vs Irtysh Omsk — Second League A - Division A Silver 2026

Dinamo Moskva II
Dinamo Moskva II
Preview
15:00
Irtysh Omsk
Irtysh Omsk
8/15/2026Second League A - Division A SilverSecond League A - Division A Silver · Division A Silver - 5
49%
Dinamo Moskva II
model favours
49%24%27%

Dinamo Moskva II score first in only 13% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
54%
over 2.5 goals
56%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Dinamo Moskva II49%
×Draw24%
Irtysh Omsk27%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dinamo Moskva II
1.67
Irtysh Omsk
1.17

Dinamo Moskva II creates 43% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 3 away

creates per match

Dinamo Moskva II
1.67
Irtysh Omsk
0.67

allows per match

Dinamo Moskva II
1.67
Irtysh Omsk
1.67

finishing

Dinamo Moskva II+0.00on par
Irtysh Omsk+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dinamo Moskva II ↓

Irtysh Omsk →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
54%46%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Dinamo Moskva II or draw
73%
Dinamo Moskva II or Irtysh Omsk
76%
Draw or Irtysh Omsk
51%

Winning margin

Dinamo Moskva II wins by 2+
26%
Irtysh Omsk wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Dinamo Moskva II 1+ goals
81%
Dinamo Moskva II 2+ goals
50%
Dinamo Moskva II 3+ goals
23%
Irtysh Omsk 1+ goals
69%
Irtysh Omsk 2+ goals
33%
Irtysh Omsk 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Dinamo Moskva II (draw refunded)
65%
Irtysh Omsk (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dinamo Moskva II at home — creates 1.67, concedes 1.67 · 6 matches

Irtysh Omsk away — creates 0.67, concedes 1.67 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dinamo Moskva II attack 1.67 + Irtysh Omsk defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.67

Irtysh Omsk attack 0.67 + Dinamo Moskva II defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Dinamo Moskva II scores more
49%
level
24%
Irtysh Omsk scores more
27%

Dinamo Moskva II at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Dinamo Moskva II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 67% of Dinamo Moskva II’s matches go over 2.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
II
LDDDW
Omsk
LLLLD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Dinamo Moskva II face Irtysh Omsk (Second League A - Division A Silver)

Second League A - Division A Silver returns with Dinamo Moskva II hosting Irtysh Omsk. Match starts August 15, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.