Dinamo Bucuresti 1–2 Rapid: Result & Stats | Liga I

Dinamo Bucuresti

FT

1 – 2

HT: 1 – 1

Rapid

H. Abdallah 45+1'

B. Burmaz 90'

J. Papeau 43'

1/27/2024

Liga I · Round 23Arena Naţională

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 9+ matches

Dinamo Bucuresti48%

×Draw24%

Rapid29%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Dinamo BucurestiExpected goals in this matchRapid

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.72

1.28

Dinamo Bucuresti

1.72

Rapid

1.28

Dinamo Bucuresti creates 34% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 13 away

2.10

creates per match

1.23

1.33

allows per match

1.34

creates per match

Dinamo Bucuresti

2.10

Rapid

1.23

allows per match

Dinamo Bucuresti

1.33

Rapid

1.34

-0.32scores less than expected

finishing

+0.23scores more than expected

finishing

Dinamo Bucuresti-0.32scores less

Rapid+0.23scores more

Total goals

Over58
Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes59
No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dinamo Bucuresti ↓

Rapid →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–111%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

80%20%2.5

58%42%3.5

35%65%4.5

18%82%

Double chance

Dinamo Bucuresti or draw

71%

Dinamo Bucuresti or Rapid

76%

Draw or Rapid

52%

Winning margin

Dinamo Bucuresti wins by 2+

25%

Rapid wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Dinamo Bucuresti 1+ goals

82%

Dinamo Bucuresti 2+ goals

51%

Dinamo Bucuresti 3+ goals

25%

Rapid 1+ goals

72%

Rapid 2+ goals

37%

Rapid 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Dinamo Bucuresti (draw refunded)

63%

Rapid (draw refunded)

37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

48%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dinamo Bucuresti at home — creates 2.10, concedes 1.33 · 9 matches

Rapid away — creates 1.23, concedes 1.34 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dinamo Bucuresti attack 2.10 + Rapid defence 1.34 → ÷2 → 1.72

Rapid attack 1.23 + Dinamo Bucuresti defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.28

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Dinamo Bucuresti scores more

48%

level

24%

Rapid scores more

29%

Dinamo Bucuresti at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Dinamo Bucuresti will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

19

H. Abdallah

Dinamo Bucuresti · F

8.0

Match Events

24'

Damjan Đoković

43'

J. Papeau↳ O. El Sawy

45+1'

H. Abdallah↳ C. Ilić

54'

A. Borza← O. El Sawy

54'

B. Burmaz← C. Braun

63'

F. Bamgboye← F. Hasani

63'

R. Oaidă← D. Đoković

67'

E. Gnahoré← C. Ilić

67'

P. Neagu← Gonçalo Gregório

73'

C. Costin← Gabriel Moura

78'

G. Milanov← D. Politic

78'

Dani Iglesias← D. Pavičić

80'

Josué Homawoo

86'

Jayson Papeau

86'

K. Soni← Albion Rrahmani

90+5'

Mihai Aioani

90+4'

Paul Iacob

90'

B. Burmaz↳ C. Săpunaru

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

DinamoRapid

Overview

49%Possession51%

18Total Shots11

2.59Expected Goals (xG)1.27

8Corners0

10Fouls18

Shots

18Total Shots11

2On Target4

10Off Target5

6Blocked2

12Inside Box7

6Outside Box4

Passing

49%Possession51%

361Total Passes401

284Accurate Passes326

79%Pass Accuracy81%

Goalkeeping

2Saves1

Discipline

10Fouls18

1Yellow Cards4

4Offsides2

Liga I: Dinamo Bucuresti 1–2 Rapid

Rapid beat Dinamo Bucuresti 2-1 in Liga I on January 27, 2024.

Goals: J. Papeau (43'), H. Abdallah (45+1'), B. Burmaz (90').

Rapid controlled possession (51%) and registered 11 shots to 18.

The match was played at Arena Naţională in Bucureşti.

Dinamo Bucuresti vs Rapid — Liga I 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Liga I: Dinamo Bucuresti 1–2 Rapid