Deportivo Universitario vs San Francisco FC — Liga Panameña de Fútbol 2018
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings
brightest fact of this match
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 128+ matches
Deportivo Universitario34%San Francisco FC38%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Both teams create about equally
Season form · 128 home / 134 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Under60
- Over40
Fewer than 3 goals likely
Both teams score
- No54
- Yes46
One side may not score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Deportivo Universitario ↓
Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Deportivo Universitario at home — creates 1.15, concedes 1.27 · 128 matches
San Francisco FC away — creates 1.08, concedes 1.07 · 134 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Deportivo Universitario attack 1.15 + San Francisco FC defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.11
San Francisco FC attack 1.08 + Deportivo Universitario defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.18
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 38%?"
San Francisco FC at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 38% does not mean "San Francisco FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Deportivo Universitario host San Francisco FC on Sunday, 26 July 2026 at 01:30. The match is part of the Liga Panameña de Fútbol 2018/2019 season.
Preview: Deportivo Universitario host San Francisco FC
July 26, 2026: Deportivo Universitario take on San Francisco FC in Liga Panameña de Fútbol. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.
Deportivo Universitario host San Francisco FC at Estadio Universidad Latina.
Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.