Deportivo Ocotal 0–0 H&H Export: Result & Stats

Deportivo Ocotal

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

H&H Export

4/14/2023

Primera Division · Clausura - 15Estadio Roy Fernando Bermúdez

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 97+ matches

Deportivo Ocotal48%

×Draw26%

H&H Export26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Deportivo OcotalExpected goals in this matchH&H Export

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.54

1.06

Deportivo Ocotal

1.54

H&H Export

1.06

Deportivo Ocotal creates 45% more chances

Season form · 109 home / 97 away

1.21

creates per match

1.07

1.05

allows per match

1.86

creates per match

Deportivo Ocotal

1.21

H&H Export

1.07

allows per match

Deportivo Ocotal

1.05

H&H Export

1.86

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Deportivo Ocotal+0.00on par

H&H Export+0.00on par

Total goals

Under52
Over48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes51
No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Deportivo Ocotal ↓

H&H Export →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–18%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

73%27%2.5

48%52%3.5

26%74%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Deportivo Ocotal or draw

74%

Deportivo Ocotal or H&H Export

74%

Draw or H&H Export

52%

Winning margin

Deportivo Ocotal wins by 2+

25%

H&H Export wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Deportivo Ocotal 1+ goals

79%

Deportivo Ocotal 2+ goals

45%

Deportivo Ocotal 3+ goals

20%

H&H Export 1+ goals

65%

H&H Export 2+ goals

29%

H&H Export 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Deportivo Ocotal (draw refunded)

65%

H&H Export (draw refunded)

35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

39%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Deportivo Ocotal at home — creates 1.21, concedes 1.05 · 109 matches

H&H Export away — creates 1.07, concedes 1.86 · 97 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Deportivo Ocotal attack 1.21 + H&H Export defence 1.86 → ÷2 → 1.54

H&H Export attack 1.07 + Deportivo Ocotal defence 1.05 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Deportivo Ocotal scores more

48%

level

26%

H&H Export scores more

26%

Deportivo Ocotal at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Deportivo Ocotal will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

10'

J. Araúz← C. Masis

46'

B. García← W. Herrera

58'

R. Molina← J. Mairena

58'

Y. Arenas← R. Espinoza

74'

C. Gómez← E. Centeno

87'

E. Pastrán← J. Araúz

Deportivo

H&H

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: S. López

58'▲R. Molina←▼J. Mairena

58'▲Y. Arenas←▼R. Espinoza

74'▲C. Gómez←▼E. Centeno

Deportivo Ocotal substitutes

MolinaArenasGómezCholesFoxFernándezCasco

Manager: H. Medina

10'▲J. Araúz←▼C. Masis

46'▲B. García←▼W. Herrera

87'▲E. Pastrán←▼J. Araúz

H&H Export substitutes

AraúzGarcíaPastránPattersonMacancheMartínezFlores

Match Recap: Deportivo Ocotal vs H&H Export

Deportivo Ocotal and H&H Export drew 0-0 in Primera Division on April 14, 2023.

The match was played at Estadio Roy Fernando Bermúdez in Ocotal.

Deportivo Ocotal vs H&H Export — Primera Division 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Deportivo Ocotal vs H&H Export