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Deportivo Muñiz vs Juventud Unida — Primera C 2026

Deportivo Muñiz
Deportivo Muñiz
Preview
12:30
Juventud Unida
Juventud Unida
8/19/2026Primera CPrimera C · Round 24
39%
Deportivo Muñiz
model favours
39%30%31%

Their last 3 meetings averaged just 1.3 goals

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
67%
under 2.5 goals
40%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 46+ matches

Deportivo Muñiz39%
×Draw30%
Juventud Unida31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Deportivo Muñiz
1.09
Juventud Unida
0.94

Deportivo Muñiz creates 16% more chances

Season form · 46 home / 46 away

creates per match

Deportivo Muñiz
1.09
Juventud Unida
0.76

allows per match

Deportivo Muñiz
1.11
Juventud Unida
1.09

finishing

Deportivo Muñiz+0.00on par
Juventud Unida+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Under
  • Under67
  • Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

60%No
  • No60
  • Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Deportivo Muñiz ↓

Juventud Unida →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–112%
0–26%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–08%
2–17%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
60%40%2.5
33%67%3.5
15%85%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Deportivo Muñiz or draw
69%
Deportivo Muñiz or Juventud Unida
70%
Draw or Juventud Unida
61%

Winning margin

Deportivo Muñiz wins by 2+
16%
Juventud Unida wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Deportivo Muñiz 1+ goals
66%
Deportivo Muñiz 2+ goals
30%
Deportivo Muñiz 3+ goals
10%
Juventud Unida 1+ goals
61%
Juventud Unida 2+ goals
24%
Juventud Unida 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Deportivo Muñiz (draw refunded)
56%
Juventud Unida (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Deportivo Muñiz at home — creates 1.09, concedes 1.11 · 46 matches

Juventud Unida away — creates 0.76, concedes 1.09 · 46 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Deportivo Muñiz attack 1.09 + Juventud Unida defence 1.09 → ÷2 → 1.09

Juventud Unida attack 0.76 + Deportivo Muñiz defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 0.94

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Deportivo Muñiz scores more
39%
level
30%
Juventud Unida scores more
31%

Deportivo Muñiz at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Deportivo Muñiz will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Muñiz
WDDLW
Unida
DLWWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Deportivo Muñiz host Juventud Unida

August 19, 2026: Deportivo Muñiz take on Juventud Unida in Primera C. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.