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Deportivo de La Coruña W vs FC Levante Badalona W — Primera División Femenina 2018

Deportivo de La Coruña W
Deportivo de La Coruña W
Preview
16:00
FC Levante Badalona W
FC Levante Badalona W
2/14/2027Primera División FemeninaPrimera División Femenina · Round 20Estadio Municipal de Riazor
48%
Deportivo de La Coruña W
model favours
48%24%27%

Their last 4 meetings averaged just 1.5 goals

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
53%
over 2.5 goals
56%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 56+ matches

Deportivo de La Coruña W48%
×Draw24%
FC Levante Badalona W27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Deportivo de La Coruña W
1.64
FC Levante Badalona W
1.18

Deportivo de La Coruña W creates 39% more chances

Season form · 56 home / 60 away

creates per match

Deportivo de La Coruña W
1.32
FC Levante Badalona W
0.88

allows per match

Deportivo de La Coruña W
1.48
FC Levante Badalona W
1.95

finishing

Deportivo de La Coruña W+0.00on par
FC Levante Badalona W+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Over
  • Over53
  • Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Deportivo de La Coruña W ↓

FC Levante Badalona W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
53%47%3.5
31%69%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Deportivo de La Coruña W or draw
73%
Deportivo de La Coruña W or FC Levante Badalona W
76%
Draw or FC Levante Badalona W
52%

Winning margin

Deportivo de La Coruña W wins by 2+
25%
FC Levante Badalona W wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Deportivo de La Coruña W 1+ goals
81%
Deportivo de La Coruña W 2+ goals
49%
Deportivo de La Coruña W 3+ goals
23%
FC Levante Badalona W 1+ goals
69%
FC Levante Badalona W 2+ goals
33%
FC Levante Badalona W 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Deportivo de La Coruña W (draw refunded)
64%
FC Levante Badalona W (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Deportivo de La Coruña W at home — creates 1.32, concedes 1.48 · 56 matches

FC Levante Badalona W away — creates 0.88, concedes 1.95 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Deportivo de La Coruña W attack 1.32 + FC Levante Badalona W defence 1.95 → ÷2 → 1.64

FC Levante Badalona W attack 0.88 + Deportivo de La Coruña W defence 1.48 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Deportivo de La Coruña W scores more
48%
level
24%
FC Levante Badalona W scores more
27%

Deportivo de La Coruña W at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Deportivo de La Coruña W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
W
LDWLD
W
WLDLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Deportivo de La Coruña W host FC Levante Badalona W

February 14, 2027: Deportivo de La Coruña W take on FC Levante Badalona W in Primera División Femenina. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Deportivo de La Coruña W host FC Levante Badalona W at Estadio Municipal de Riazor.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.