Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC — Liga Pro 2026

Deportivo Cuenca
Deportivo Cuenca
Preview
20:00
Guayaquil City FC
Guayaquil City FC
9/2/2026Liga ProLiga Pro · Round 28Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar
Big match
53%
Deportivo Cuenca
model favours
53%25%22%

88% of Deportivo Cuenca’s matches stay under 2.5 goals

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
53%
under 2.5 goals
49%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 96+ matches

Deportivo Cuenca53%
×Draw25%
Guayaquil City FC22%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Deportivo Cuenca
1.62
Guayaquil City FC
0.95

Deportivo Cuenca creates 71% more chances

Season form · 132 home / 96 away

creates per match

Deportivo Cuenca
1.54
Guayaquil City FC
0.79

allows per match

Deportivo Cuenca
1.11
Guayaquil City FC
1.70

finishing

Deportivo Cuenca+0.00on par
Guayaquil City FC+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Deportivo Cuenca ↓

Guayaquil City FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
73%27%2.5
47%53%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Deportivo Cuenca or draw
78%
Deportivo Cuenca or Guayaquil City FC
75%
Draw or Guayaquil City FC
47%

Winning margin

Deportivo Cuenca wins by 2+
28%
Guayaquil City FC wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Deportivo Cuenca 1+ goals
80%
Deportivo Cuenca 2+ goals
48%
Deportivo Cuenca 3+ goals
22%
Guayaquil City FC 1+ goals
61%
Guayaquil City FC 2+ goals
25%
Guayaquil City FC 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Deportivo Cuenca (draw refunded)
71%
Guayaquil City FC (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Deportivo Cuenca at home — creates 1.54, concedes 1.11 · 132 matches

Guayaquil City FC away — creates 0.79, concedes 1.70 · 96 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Deportivo Cuenca attack 1.54 + Guayaquil City FC defence 1.70 → ÷2 → 1.62

Guayaquil City FC attack 0.79 + Deportivo Cuenca defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 0.95

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Deportivo Cuenca scores more
53%
level
25%
Guayaquil City FC scores more
22%

Deportivo Cuenca at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Deportivo Cuenca will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Deportivo Cuenca score first in only 25% of matches
  • Both teams score in only 31% of Deportivo Cuenca’s matches
  • Guayaquil City FC fall short of their xG (0.8 vs 1.2 expected)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Similar styles
Deportivo Cuenca
Balanced
Guayaquil City FC
Balanced
50%Possession51%
78%Pass accuracy82%
11.2ShotsBiggest gap6.3
1.34xG1.19
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
Deportivo CuencaGuayaquil City FC

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

5
Deportivo Cuenca
2
Draws
3
Guayaquil City FC
Avg goals: 2.3BTTS: 50%
1–02–10–04–11–0

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Cuenca
LDLLD
FC
WDWLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Deportivo Cuenca host Guayaquil City FC

September 2, 2026: Deportivo Cuenca take on Guayaquil City FC in Liga Pro. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Deportivo Cuenca host Guayaquil City FC at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.