Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Delfin SC vs Universidad Catolica — Liga Pro 2026

Delfin SC
Delfin SC
Preview
20:00
Universidad Catolica
Universidad Catolica
9/6/2026Liga ProLiga Pro · Round 29Estadio Jocay
Big match
39%
Delfin SC
model favours
39%27%34%

Delfin SC score first in only 25% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
54%
under 2.5 goals
51%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 130+ matches

Delfin SC39%
×Draw27%
Universidad Catolica34%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Delfin SC
1.31
Universidad Catolica
1.21

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 130 home / 132 away

creates per match

Delfin SC
1.37
Universidad Catolica
1.42

allows per match

Delfin SC
0.99
Universidad Catolica
1.24

finishing

Delfin SC+0.00on par
Universidad Catolica+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Delfin SC ↓

Universidad Catolica →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–110%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
46%54%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Delfin SC or draw
66%
Delfin SC or Universidad Catolica
73%
Draw or Universidad Catolica
61%

Winning margin

Delfin SC wins by 2+
18%
Universidad Catolica wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Delfin SC 1+ goals
73%
Delfin SC 2+ goals
38%
Delfin SC 3+ goals
14%
Universidad Catolica 1+ goals
70%
Universidad Catolica 2+ goals
34%
Universidad Catolica 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Delfin SC (draw refunded)
53%
Universidad Catolica (draw refunded)
47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Delfin SC at home — creates 1.37, concedes 0.99 · 130 matches

Universidad Catolica away — creates 1.42, concedes 1.24 · 132 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Delfin SC attack 1.37 + Universidad Catolica defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 1.31

Universidad Catolica attack 1.42 + Delfin SC defence 0.99 → ÷2 → 1.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Delfin SC scores more
39%
level
27%
Universidad Catolica scores more
34%

Delfin SC at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Delfin SC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 75% of Delfin SC’s matches stay under 2.5 goals
  • Style contrast — Delfin SC play Direct / counter-attacking, Universidad Catolica Possession-dominant
  • Universidad Catolica fall short of their xG (1.3 vs 1.7 expected)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Delfin SC
Direct / counter-attacking
Universidad Catolica
Possession-dominant
44%Possession61%
72%Pass accuracy84%
10.1Shots14.0
0.63xGBiggest gap1.67
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
Delfin SCUniversidad Catolica

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

2
Delfin SC
4
Draws
4
Universidad Catolica
Avg goals: 2.7BTTS: 60%
2–21–11–01–20–2

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
SC
WWLDL
Catolica
WWLLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Delfin SC face Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro)

Liga Pro returns with Delfin SC hosting Universidad Catolica. Match starts September 6, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Delfin SC host Universidad Catolica at Estadio Jocay.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.