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Delfin SC vs Tecnico Universitario — Liga Pro 2026

Delfin SC
Delfin SC
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Tecnico Universitario
Tecnico Universitario
J. Cifuente 38'
H. Patta 25' (pen)
7/27/2021Liga ProLiga Pro · 2nd Round - 1Estadio Jocay

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 127+ matches

Delfin SC47%
×Draw28%
Tecnico Universitario25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Delfin SC
1.37
Tecnico Universitario
0.92

Delfin SC creates 49% more chances

Season form · 129 home / 127 away

creates per match

Delfin SC
1.35
Tecnico Universitario
0.86

allows per match

Delfin SC
0.98
Tecnico Universitario
1.39

finishing

Delfin SC+0.00on par
Tecnico Universitario+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

55%No
  • No55
  • Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Delfin SC ↓

Tecnico Universitario →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–19%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
67%33%2.5
40%60%3.5
20%80%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Delfin SC or draw
75%
Delfin SC or Tecnico Universitario
72%
Draw or Tecnico Universitario
53%

Winning margin

Delfin SC wins by 2+
23%
Tecnico Universitario wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Delfin SC 1+ goals
75%
Delfin SC 2+ goals
40%
Delfin SC 3+ goals
16%
Tecnico Universitario 1+ goals
60%
Tecnico Universitario 2+ goals
23%
Tecnico Universitario 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Delfin SC (draw refunded)
65%
Tecnico Universitario (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
32%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Delfin SC at home — creates 1.35, concedes 0.98 · 129 matches

Tecnico Universitario away — creates 0.86, concedes 1.39 · 127 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Delfin SC attack 1.35 + Tecnico Universitario defence 1.39 → ÷2 → 1.37

Tecnico Universitario attack 0.86 + Delfin SC defence 0.98 → ÷2 → 0.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Delfin SC scores more
47%
level
28%
Tecnico Universitario scores more
25%

Delfin SC at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Delfin SC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

25'
H. PattaPenalty
38'
J. Cifuente↳ J. Corozo
39'
J. Susvielles← A. Villalva
62'
L. Estupiñán← J. Pereira
72'
Joffre Monrroy
75'
G. Corozo← J. Monrroy
75'
J. Alman← J. Cifuente
75'
A. Villa← M. Mejía
88'
E. Rodríguez← H. Patta

Possession

59%Delfin

Shots

12Delfin

Statistics

DelfinTecnico
Overview
59%Possession41%
12Total Shots8
7Corners2
11Fouls16
Shots
12Total Shots8
7On Target4
5Off Target4
Passing
59%Possession41%
Goalkeeping
3Saves6
Discipline
11Fouls16
1Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
4Offsides1

Match Recap: Delfin SC vs Tecnico Universitario

Delfin SC and Tecnico Universitario drew 1-1 in Liga Pro on July 27, 2021.

Goals: H. Patta (25' pen), J. Cifuente (38').

Delfin SC controlled possession (59%) and registered 12 shots to 8.

The match was played at Estadio Jocay in Manta.