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Czechia U17 vs Belarus U17 — UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification 2022

Czechia U17
Czechia U17
Preview
13:00
Belarus U17
Belarus U17
10/19/2026UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationUEFA U17 Championship - Qualification · Group Stage - 1
Big match
60%
Czechia U17
model favours
60%19%22%

Top-of-the-table clash — Czechia U17 2 vs Belarus U17 2

brightest fact of this match

2–1
likely score
77%
over 2.5 goals
72%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Czechia U1760%
×Draw19%
Belarus U1722%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Czechia U17
2.56
Belarus U17
1.52

Czechia U17 creates 68% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 15 away

creates per match

Czechia U17
3.20
Belarus U17
1.80

allows per match

Czechia U17
1.25
Belarus U17
1.93

finishing

Czechia U17+0.00on par
Belarus U17+0.00on par

Total goals

77%Over
  • Over77
  • Under23

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

72%Yes
  • Yes72
  • No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Czechia U17 ↓

Belarus U17 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–25%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–26%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
77%23%3.5
57%43%4.5
38%62%

Double chance

Czechia U17 or draw
78%
Czechia U17 or Belarus U17
81%
Draw or Belarus U17
40%

Winning margin

Czechia U17 wins by 2+
39%
Belarus U17 wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Czechia U17 1+ goals
92%
Czechia U17 2+ goals
72%
Czechia U17 3+ goals
46%
Belarus U17 1+ goals
78%
Belarus U17 2+ goals
45%
Belarus U17 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Czechia U17 (draw refunded)
73%
Belarus U17 (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
65%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Czechia U17 at home — creates 3.20, concedes 1.25 · 20 matches

Belarus U17 away — creates 1.80, concedes 1.93 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Czechia U17 attack 3.20 + Belarus U17 defence 1.93 → ÷2 → 2.56

Belarus U17 attack 1.80 + Czechia U17 defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.52

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Czechia U17 scores more
60%
level
19%
Belarus U17 scores more
22%

Czechia U17 at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Czechia U17 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
U17
WDDW
U17
LWWLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Czechia U17 host Belarus U17

October 19, 2026: Czechia U17 take on Belarus U17 in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.