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CSKA Sofia II vs Yantra 2019 — Second League 2018

CSKA Sofia II
CSKA Sofia II
Preview
15:00
Yantra 2019
Yantra 2019
10/24/2026Second LeagueSecond League · Round 13Stadion Dragalevtsi
50%
CSKA Sofia II
model favours
50%27%23%

Yantra 2019 score first in only 20% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
59%
under 2.5 goals
45%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 35+ matches

CSKA Sofia II50%
×Draw27%
Yantra 201923%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

CSKA Sofia II
1.44
Yantra 2019
0.89

CSKA Sofia II creates 62% more chances

Season form · 35 home / 100 away

creates per match

CSKA Sofia II
1.66
Yantra 2019
0.95

allows per match

CSKA Sofia II
0.83
Yantra 2019
1.21

finishing

CSKA Sofia II+0.00on par
Yantra 2019+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Under
  • Under59
  • Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

55%No
  • No55
  • Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CSKA Sofia II ↓

Yantra 2019 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–19%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
68%32%2.5
41%59%3.5
21%79%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

CSKA Sofia II or draw
77%
CSKA Sofia II or Yantra 2019
73%
Draw or Yantra 2019
50%

Winning margin

CSKA Sofia II wins by 2+
25%
Yantra 2019 wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

CSKA Sofia II 1+ goals
76%
CSKA Sofia II 2+ goals
42%
CSKA Sofia II 3+ goals
18%
Yantra 2019 1+ goals
59%
Yantra 2019 2+ goals
22%
Yantra 2019 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

CSKA Sofia II (draw refunded)
68%
Yantra 2019 (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
32%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CSKA Sofia II at home — creates 1.66, concedes 0.83 · 35 matches

Yantra 2019 away — creates 0.95, concedes 1.21 · 100 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CSKA Sofia II attack 1.66 + Yantra 2019 defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.44

Yantra 2019 attack 0.95 + CSKA Sofia II defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 0.89

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

CSKA Sofia II scores more
50%
level
27%
Yantra 2019 scores more
23%

CSKA Sofia II at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "CSKA Sofia II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in 80% of Yantra 2019’s matches
  • 70% of Yantra 2019’s matches stay under 2.5 goals
  • CSKA Sofia II win just 24% against the top half (vs 56% against the bottom)
  • Their last 4 meetings averaged just 1.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
II
WDWWW
2019
DLWLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

CSKA Sofia II face Yantra 2019 (Second League)

Second League returns with CSKA Sofia II hosting Yantra 2019. Match starts October 24, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

CSKA Sofia II host Yantra 2019 at Stadion Dragalevtsi.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.