Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Csikszereda MC W vs Olimpia Cluj W — Liga 1 Feminin 2020

Csikszereda MC W
Csikszereda MC W
FT
2 – 1
Olimpia Cluj W
Olimpia Cluj W
5/25/2024Liga 1 FemininLiga 1 Feminin · Championship Round - 12Sport-Park Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 50+ matches

Csikszereda MC W39%
×Draw20%
Olimpia Cluj W41%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Csikszereda MC W
2.19
Olimpia Cluj W
2.23

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 50 home / 70 away

creates per match

Csikszereda MC W
3.22
Olimpia Cluj W
3.27

allows per match

Csikszereda MC W
1.18
Olimpia Cluj W
1.16

finishing

Csikszereda MC W+0.00on par
Olimpia Cluj W+0.00on par

Total goals

81%Over
  • Over81
  • Under19

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

79%Yes
  • Yes79
  • No21

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Csikszereda MC W ↓

Olimpia Cluj W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–03%
1–16%
1–27%
1–35%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–15%
3–25%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–01%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (7%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
81%19%3.5
64%36%4.5
44%56%

Double chance

Csikszereda MC W or draw
59%
Csikszereda MC W or Olimpia Cluj W
80%
Draw or Olimpia Cluj W
61%

Winning margin

Csikszereda MC W wins by 2+
22%
Olimpia Cluj W wins by 2+
23%

Team goals

Csikszereda MC W 1+ goals
89%
Csikszereda MC W 2+ goals
64%
Csikszereda MC W 3+ goals
37%
Olimpia Cluj W 1+ goals
89%
Olimpia Cluj W 2+ goals
65%
Olimpia Cluj W 3+ goals
38%

Draw no bet

Csikszereda MC W (draw refunded)
49%
Olimpia Cluj W (draw refunded)
51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
73%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Csikszereda MC W at home — creates 3.22, concedes 1.18 · 50 matches

Olimpia Cluj W away — creates 3.27, concedes 1.16 · 70 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Csikszereda MC W attack 3.22 + Olimpia Cluj W defence 1.16 → ÷2 → 2.19

Olimpia Cluj W attack 3.27 + Csikszereda MC W defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 2.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Csikszereda MC W scores more
39%
level
20%
Olimpia Cluj W scores more
41%

Olimpia Cluj W at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Olimpia Cluj W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Liga 1 Feminin: Csikszereda MC W 2–1 Olimpia Cluj W

Csikszereda MC W beat Olimpia Cluj W 2-1 in Liga 1 Feminin on May 25, 2024.

The match was played at Sport-Park Arena in Miercurea Ciuc.