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Cove Rangers vs Dundee United II — League #182 2026

Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
Preview
18:45
Dundee United II
Dundee United II
8/25/2026League #182League #182 · Group Stage - 2Balmoral Stadium
75%
Cove Rangers
model favours
75%16%9%

Cove Rangers score first in only 5% of matches

brightest fact of this match

2–0
likely score
63%
over 2.5 goals
48%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Cove Rangers75%
×Draw16%
Dundee United II9%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Cove Rangers
2.50
Dundee United II
0.75

Cove Rangers creates 233% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 6 away

creates per match

Cove Rangers
2.00
Dundee United II
0.83

allows per match

Cove Rangers
0.67
Dundee United II
3.00

finishing

Cove Rangers+0.00on par
Dundee United II+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

52%No
  • No52
  • Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cove Rangers ↓

Dundee United II →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–13%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–17%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–010%
3–18%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–06%
4–15%
4–22%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (12%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
63%37%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Cove Rangers or draw
91%
Cove Rangers or Dundee United II
84%
Draw or Dundee United II
25%

Winning margin

Cove Rangers wins by 2+
53%
Dundee United II wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Cove Rangers 1+ goals
92%
Cove Rangers 2+ goals
71%
Cove Rangers 3+ goals
45%
Dundee United II 1+ goals
53%
Dundee United II 2+ goals
17%
Dundee United II 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Cove Rangers (draw refunded)
89%
Dundee United II (draw refunded)
11%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cove Rangers at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.67 · 3 matches

Dundee United II away — creates 0.83, concedes 3.00 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cove Rangers attack 2.00 + Dundee United II defence 3.00 → ÷2 → 2.50

Dundee United II attack 0.83 + Cove Rangers defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.75

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 75%?"

Cove Rangers scores more
75%
level
16%
Dundee United II scores more
9%

Cove Rangers at 75% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 75% does not mean "Cove Rangers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Cove Rangers sit 11, Dundee United II 27 in the table

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Rangers
LLWLL
II
LLLLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Cove Rangers face Dundee United II (League #182)

League #182 returns with Cove Rangers hosting Dundee United II. Match starts August 25, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Cove Rangers host Dundee United II at Balmoral Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.