Coquimbo Unido vs O'Higgins — Copa De La Liga 2026
Copa De La Liga · Final
O'Higgins score first in only 25% of matches
brightest fact of this match
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 3+ matches
Coquimbo Unido39%
O'Higgins36%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Both teams create about equally
Season form · 3 home / 4 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Over54
- Under46
3+ goals likely
Both teams score
- Yes57
- No43
Both teams likely to score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Coquimbo Unido ↓
Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Coquimbo Unido at home — creates 1.67, concedes 1.00 · 3 matches
O'Higgins away — creates 1.75, concedes 1.25 · 4 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Coquimbo Unido attack 1.67 + O'Higgins defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.46
O'Higgins attack 1.75 + Coquimbo Unido defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.38
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 39%?"
Coquimbo Unido at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 39% does not mean "Coquimbo Unido will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Match Insights
- Coquimbo Unido score first in only 35% of matches
- 50% of Coquimbo Unido’s goals come after the 75th minute
- 50% of O'Higgins’s goals come after the 75th minute
- 65% of Coquimbo Unido’s matches stay under 2.5 goals
- Top-of-the-table clash — Coquimbo Unido 1 vs O'Higgins 1
Based on historical data — not a prediction.
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Coquimbo Unido host O'Higgins on Saturday, 18 July 2026 at 22:00. The match is part of the Copa De La Liga 2026/2027 season.
Coquimbo Unido vs O'Higgins — Match Preview
Coquimbo Unido face O'Higgins on July 18, 2026 in this Copa De La Liga fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.
Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.