Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Comunicaciones vs Suchitepéquez — Liga Nacional 2019

Comunicaciones
Comunicaciones
Preview
20:00
Suchitepéquez
Suchitepéquez
10/4/2026Liga NacionalLiga Nacional · Round 12Estadio Doroteo Guamuch Flores
55%
Comunicaciones
model favours
55%22%24%

Comunicaciones and Suchitepéquez have never met before

brightest fact of this match

2–1
likely score
63%
over 2.5 goals
62%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Comunicaciones55%
×Draw22%
Suchitepéquez24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Comunicaciones
2.02
Suchitepéquez
1.26

Comunicaciones creates 60% more chances

Season form · 156 home / 3 away

creates per match

Comunicaciones
1.70
Suchitepéquez
1.67

allows per match

Comunicaciones
0.85
Suchitepéquez
2.33

finishing

Comunicaciones+0.00on par
Suchitepéquez+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Comunicaciones ↓

Suchitepéquez →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Comunicaciones or draw
76%
Comunicaciones or Suchitepéquez
78%
Draw or Suchitepéquez
45%

Winning margin

Comunicaciones wins by 2+
32%
Suchitepéquez wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Comunicaciones 1+ goals
87%
Comunicaciones 2+ goals
60%
Comunicaciones 3+ goals
33%
Suchitepéquez 1+ goals
72%
Suchitepéquez 2+ goals
36%
Suchitepéquez 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Comunicaciones (draw refunded)
70%
Suchitepéquez (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Comunicaciones at home — creates 1.70, concedes 0.85 · 156 matches

Suchitepéquez away — creates 1.67, concedes 2.33 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Comunicaciones attack 1.70 + Suchitepéquez defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 2.02

Suchitepéquez attack 1.67 + Comunicaciones defence 0.85 → ÷2 → 1.26

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Comunicaciones scores more
55%
level
22%
Suchitepéquez scores more
24%

Comunicaciones at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Comunicaciones will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Comunicaciones
LDWLL
Suchitepéquez
LDLWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Comunicaciones host Suchitepéquez

October 4, 2026: Comunicaciones take on Suchitepéquez in Liga Nacional. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Comunicaciones host Suchitepéquez at Estadio Doroteo Guamuch Flores.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.