Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Sport Boys

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

Preview

16:00

Sport Boys

7/19/2026

Primera División · Clausura - 1Estadio Municipal Los Chankas

Big match

53%

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

model favours

53%24%23%

Sport Boys are unbeaten in 7 straight

brightest fact of this match

1–1

likely score

51%

over 2.5 goals

52%

both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Club Deportivo Los Chankas53%

×Draw24%

Sport Boys23%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Club Deportivo Los ChankasExpected goals in this matchSport Boys

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.69

1.02

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

1.69

Sport Boys

1.02

Club Deportivo Los Chankas creates 66% more chances

Season form · 39 home / 30 away

1.64

creates per match

1.03

1.00

allows per match

1.73

creates per match

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

1.64

Sport Boys

1.03

allows per match

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

1.00

Sport Boys

1.73

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Club Deportivo Los Chankas+0.00on par

Sport Boys+0.00on par

Total goals

Over51
Under49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes52
No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Club Deportivo Los Chankas ↓

Sport Boys →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–17%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–111%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–010%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

51%49%3.5

29%71%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw

77%

Club Deportivo Los Chankas or Sport Boys

76%

Draw or Sport Boys

47%

Winning margin

Club Deportivo Los Chankas wins by 2+

29%

Sport Boys wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1+ goals

82%

Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2+ goals

50%

Club Deportivo Los Chankas 3+ goals

24%

Sport Boys 1+ goals

64%

Sport Boys 2+ goals

27%

Sport Boys 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Club Deportivo Los Chankas (draw refunded)

70%

Sport Boys (draw refunded)

30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

41%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Club Deportivo Los Chankas at home — creates 1.64, concedes 1.00 · 39 matches

Sport Boys away — creates 1.03, concedes 1.73 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Club Deportivo Los Chankas attack 1.64 + Sport Boys defence 1.73 → ÷2 → 1.69

Sport Boys attack 1.03 + Club Deportivo Los Chankas defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Club Deportivo Los Chankas scores more

53%

level

24%

Sport Boys scores more

23%

Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Club Deportivo Los Chankas will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

67% of Sport Boys’s matches stay under 2.5 goals
Both teams score in only 33% of Sport Boys’s matches
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

Balanced

Sport Boys

Defensively solid

48%Possession53%

77%Pass accuracy78%

11.9Shots13.0

1.22xGBiggest gap0.89

Club Deportivo Los ChankasSport Boys

Head-to-head

5 previous meetings

2

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

2

Draws

1

Sport Boys

Avg goals: 2.4BTTS: 80%

1–12–11–11–22–0

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form

Chankas

LWWDL

Boys

WWDW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff