Club Africain 5–0 JS Kairouanaise: Result & Stats

Club Africain

FT

5 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

JS Kairouanaise

S. Khalifa 90+1'

I. Minyeoui 81', 69'

H. Belkaroui 36'

W. Ben Yahia 32'

9/27/2015

League #202 · Round 3Stade Olympique de Radès

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 64+ matches

Club Africain62%

×Draw25%

JS Kairouanaise13%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Club AfricainExpected goals in this matchJS Kairouanaise

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.59

0.58

Club Africain

1.59

JS Kairouanaise

0.58

Club Africain creates 174% more chances

Season form · 85 home / 64 away

1.51

creates per match

0.58

allows per match

1.67

creates per match

Club Africain

1.51

JS Kairouanaise

0.58

allows per match

Club Africain

0.58

JS Kairouanaise

1.67

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Club Africain+0.00on par

JS Kairouanaise+0.00on par

Total goals

Under63
Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No65
Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Club Africain ↓

JS Kairouanaise →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–17%

0–22%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–018%

1–111%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–014%

2–18%

2–22%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–08%

3–14%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

64%36%2.5

37%63%3.5

17%83%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

Club Africain or draw

87%

Club Africain or JS Kairouanaise

75%

Draw or JS Kairouanaise

38%

Winning margin

Club Africain wins by 2+

34%

JS Kairouanaise wins by 2+

3%

Team goals

Club Africain 1+ goals

80%

Club Africain 2+ goals

47%

Club Africain 3+ goals

21%

JS Kairouanaise 1+ goals

44%

JS Kairouanaise 2+ goals

12%

JS Kairouanaise 3+ goals

2%

Draw no bet

Club Africain (draw refunded)

82%

JS Kairouanaise (draw refunded)

18%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

24%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Club Africain at home — creates 1.51, concedes 0.58 · 85 matches

JS Kairouanaise away — creates 0.58, concedes 1.67 · 64 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Club Africain attack 1.51 + JS Kairouanaise defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.59

JS Kairouanaise attack 0.58 + Club Africain defence 0.58 → ÷2 → 0.58

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Club Africain scores more

62%

level

25%

JS Kairouanaise scores more

13%

Club Africain at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Club Africain will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

32'

36'

69'

81'

90+1'

Club

JS

⚽

⚽

⚽

⚽2

Match Recap: Club Africain vs JS Kairouanaise

Club Africain beat JS Kairouanaise 5-0 in League #202 on September 27, 2015.

Goals: W. Ben Yahia (32'), H. Belkaroui (36'), I. Minyeoui (69', 81'), S. Khalifa (90+1').

The match was played at Stade Olympique de Radès in Radès.

Club Africain vs JS Kairouanaise — League #202 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Club Africain vs JS Kairouanaise