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Civil Service Strollers vs Gala Fairydean Rovers — League #731 2026

Civil Service Strollers
Civil Service Strollers
Preview
15:00
Gala Fairydean Rovers
Gala Fairydean Rovers
11/7/2026League #731League #731 · Regular Season
77%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
model favours
5%17%77%

Gala Fairydean Rovers score first in only 10% of matches

brightest fact of this match

0–1
likely score
59%
under 2.5 goals
25%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Civil Service Strollers5%
×Draw17%
Gala Fairydean Rovers77%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Civil Service Strollers
0.34
Gala Fairydean Rovers
2.00

Gala Fairydean Rovers creates 488% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 4 away

creates per match

Civil Service Strollers
0.67
Gala Fairydean Rovers
3.00

allows per match

Civil Service Strollers
1.00
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0.00

finishing

Civil Service Strollers+0.00on par
Gala Fairydean Rovers+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Under
  • Under59
  • Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

75%No
  • No75
  • Yes25

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Civil Service Strollers ↓

Gala Fairydean Rovers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–119%
0–219%
0–313%
0–46%
1
1–03%
1–17%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–01%
2–11%
2–21%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–00%
3–10%
3–20%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (19%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
68%32%2.5
41%59%3.5
21%79%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Civil Service Strollers or draw
23%
Civil Service Strollers or Gala Fairydean Rovers
83%
Draw or Gala Fairydean Rovers
95%

Winning margin

Civil Service Strollers wins by 2+
1%
Gala Fairydean Rovers wins by 2+
50%

Team goals

Civil Service Strollers 1+ goals
29%
Civil Service Strollers 2+ goals
5%
Civil Service Strollers 3+ goals
1%
Gala Fairydean Rovers 1+ goals
86%
Gala Fairydean Rovers 2+ goals
59%
Gala Fairydean Rovers 3+ goals
32%

Draw no bet

Civil Service Strollers (draw refunded)
6%
Gala Fairydean Rovers (draw refunded)
94%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
18%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Civil Service Strollers at home — creates 0.67, concedes 1.00 · 3 matches

Gala Fairydean Rovers away — creates 3.00, concedes 0.00 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Civil Service Strollers attack 0.67 + Gala Fairydean Rovers defence 0.00 → ÷2 → 0.34

Gala Fairydean Rovers attack 3.00 + Civil Service Strollers defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 2.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 77%?"

Civil Service Strollers scores more
5%
level
17%
Gala Fairydean Rovers scores more
77%

Gala Fairydean Rovers at 77% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 77% does not mean "Gala Fairydean Rovers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Gala Fairydean Rovers are unbeaten in 7 straight
  • Gala Fairydean Rovers have won 4 in a row
  • Gala Fairydean Rovers have scored in 8 games running
  • Civil Service Strollers and Gala Fairydean Rovers have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Strollers
DLDL
Rovers
WWWWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Civil Service Strollers face Gala Fairydean Rovers (League #731)

League #731 returns with Civil Service Strollers hosting Gala Fairydean Rovers. Match starts November 7, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.