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Civil Service Strollers vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic — League #731 2026

Civil Service Strollers
Civil Service Strollers
Preview
14:00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
9/12/2026League #731League #731 · Regular Season
50%
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
model favours
20%31%50%

Civil Service Strollers and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have never met before

brightest fact of this match

0–1
likely score
72%
under 2.5 goals
33%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Civil Service Strollers20%
×Draw31%
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic50%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Civil Service Strollers
0.64
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1.20

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic creates 88% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 5 away

creates per match

Civil Service Strollers
0.67
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1.40

allows per match

Civil Service Strollers
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.60

finishing

Civil Service Strollers+0.00on par
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic+0.00on par

Total goals

72%Under
  • Under72
  • Over28

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

67%No
  • No67
  • Yes33

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Civil Service Strollers ↓

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–016%
0–119%
0–211%
0–35%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–03%
2–14%
2–22%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–01%
3–11%
3–20%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (19%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
84%16%1.5
55%45%2.5
28%72%3.5
11%89%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Civil Service Strollers or draw
50%
Civil Service Strollers or Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
69%
Draw or Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
80%

Winning margin

Civil Service Strollers wins by 2+
5%
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic wins by 2+
22%

Team goals

Civil Service Strollers 1+ goals
47%
Civil Service Strollers 2+ goals
14%
Civil Service Strollers 3+ goals
3%
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1+ goals
70%
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2+ goals
34%
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Civil Service Strollers (draw refunded)
28%
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic (draw refunded)
72%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
21%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Civil Service Strollers at home — creates 0.67, concedes 1.00 · 3 matches

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic away — creates 1.40, concedes 0.60 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Civil Service Strollers attack 0.67 + Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic defence 0.60 → ÷2 → 0.64

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic attack 1.40 + Civil Service Strollers defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.20

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Civil Service Strollers scores more
20%
level
31%
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic scores more
50%

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Strollers
DLDL
Athletic
DLWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Civil Service Strollers host Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic

September 12, 2026: Civil Service Strollers take on Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic in League #731. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.