Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Chrobry Głogów vs Stal Rzeszów — I Liga 2025

Chrobry Głogów
Chrobry Głogów
Preview
16:00
Stal Rzeszów
Stal Rzeszów
12/12/2026I LigaI Liga · Round 18Stadion Chrobrego
Big match
48%
Chrobry Głogów
model favours
48%23%29%

Chrobry Głogów score first in only 17% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
60%
over 2.5 goals
61%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 22+ matches

Chrobry Głogów48%
×Draw23%
Stal Rzeszów29%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Chrobry Głogów
1.78
Stal Rzeszów
1.33

Chrobry Głogów creates 34% more chances

Season form · 31 home / 22 away

creates per match

Chrobry Głogów
1.48
Stal Rzeszów
1.41

allows per match

Chrobry Głogów
1.26
Stal Rzeszów
2.09

finishing

Chrobry Głogów+0.00on par
Stal Rzeszów+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Chrobry Głogów ↓

Stal Rzeszów →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
60%40%3.5
38%62%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Chrobry Głogów or draw
71%
Chrobry Głogów or Stal Rzeszów
77%
Draw or Stal Rzeszów
52%

Winning margin

Chrobry Głogów wins by 2+
26%
Stal Rzeszów wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Chrobry Głogów 1+ goals
83%
Chrobry Głogów 2+ goals
53%
Chrobry Głogów 3+ goals
26%
Stal Rzeszów 1+ goals
74%
Stal Rzeszów 2+ goals
38%
Stal Rzeszów 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Chrobry Głogów (draw refunded)
62%
Stal Rzeszów (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Chrobry Głogów at home — creates 1.48, concedes 1.26 · 31 matches

Stal Rzeszów away — creates 1.41, concedes 2.09 · 22 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Chrobry Głogów attack 1.48 + Stal Rzeszów defence 2.09 → ÷2 → 1.78

Stal Rzeszów attack 1.41 + Chrobry Głogów defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Chrobry Głogów scores more
48%
level
23%
Stal Rzeszów scores more
29%

Chrobry Głogów at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Chrobry Głogów will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Stal Rzeszów score first in only 17% of matches
  • Chrobry Głogów have scored in 12 games running
  • Both sides lean high-scoring (83% and 75% over 2.5)
  • 83% of Chrobry Głogów’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Both teams score in 83% of Stal Rzeszów’s matches
  • 75% of Stal Rzeszów’s matches go over 2.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Głogów
WLLWL
Rzeszów
DLWLD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Chrobry Głogów host Stal Rzeszów

December 12, 2026: Chrobry Głogów take on Stal Rzeszów in I Liga. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Chrobry Głogów host Stal Rzeszów at Stadion Chrobrego.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.