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Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 22+ matches

Chicago 48%Draw 25%27% Atlanta
1.58Expected xG1.11

Over / Under 2.5

50%

Over

50%

Under

Both Score

53%

Yes

47%

No

Most Likely Scores

1-1

12%

1-0

11%

2-1

9%

xG Profile (42 home / 22 away matches)

Chicago Fire

xG 1.33 · xGA 1.36

+0 vs xG

Atlanta United FC

xG 0.86 · xGA 1.82

+0 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC — Major League Soccer 2026

Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer·2026📍Soldier Field
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
FT
1 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Atlanta United FC
Atlanta United FC
M. Haile-Selassie 13'
Date
Apr 12, 2026, 12:30 AM
Tournament
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 7
Referee
G. Gonzales
Venue
Soldier Field, Chicago

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

Chicago Fire

Over / Under 2.5

67%over 2.5
  • Over 2.55467%
  • Under 2.52733%

Both teams scored

62%BTTS
  • Yes5062%
  • No3138%

Atlanta United FC

Over / Under 2.5

67%over 2.5
  • Over 2.53767%
  • Under 2.51833%

Both teams scored

69%BTTS
  • Yes3869%
  • No1731%

Player of the match

4
M. MbokaziChicago FireChicago Fire · D
8.6

Match Events

3'
Tomás Jacob
8'
Philip Zinckernagel
13'
M. Haile-Selassie↳ J. Bamba
48'
Leonardo Barroso
66'
S. Alzate← C. Sanchez
68'
M. Pineda← D. D'Avilla
68'
J. Dean← L. Barroso
78'
C. Togashi← E. Latte Lath
78'
P. Amador← E. Baez
78'
L. Brennan← S. Lobjanidze
88'
A. Fortune← M. Galarza
89'
J. Shokalook← P. Zinckernagel
89'
P. Dithejane← J. Bamba

Possession

45%Chicago

Shots

18Chicago

Pass accuracy

48%Chicago

Statistics

ChicagoAtlanta
Overview
45%Possession55%
18Total Shots20
2.34Expected Goals (xG)1.68
6Corners11
12Fouls5
Shots
18Total Shots20
3On Target6
8Off Target5
7Blocked9
13Inside Box11
5Outside Box9
Passing
45%Possession55%
459Total Passes554
377Accurate Passes487
82%Pass Accuracy88%
Goalkeeping
5Saves2
-0.02Goals Prevented-0.02
Discipline
12Fouls5
2Yellow Cards1
2Offsides2

Match Recap: Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC

Chicago Fire beat Atlanta United FC 1-0 in Major League Soccer on April 12, 2026.

Goals: M. Haile-Selassie (13').

Atlanta United FC controlled possession (55%) and registered 20 shots to 18.

The match was played at Soldier Field in Chicago.