Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Chertsey Town vs Sholing — League #60 2026

Chertsey Town
Chertsey Town
Preview
15:00
Sholing
Sholing
3/20/2027League #60League #60 · Round 37
70%
Chertsey Town
model favours
70%20%11%
1–0
likely score
51%
under 2.5 goals
40%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Chertsey Town70%
×Draw20%
Sholing11%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Chertsey Town
2.00
Sholing
0.63

Chertsey Town creates 217% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 4 away

creates per match

Chertsey Town
2.25
Sholing
0.75

allows per match

Chertsey Town
0.50
Sholing
1.75

finishing

Chertsey Town+0.00on par
Sholing+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Under
  • Under51
  • Over49

Close call

Both teams score

60%No
  • No60
  • Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Chertsey Town ↓

Sholing →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–15%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–19%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–014%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–010%
3–16%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
49%51%3.5
27%73%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Chertsey Town or draw
89%
Chertsey Town or Sholing
80%
Draw or Sholing
30%

Winning margin

Chertsey Town wins by 2+
44%
Sholing wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Chertsey Town 1+ goals
86%
Chertsey Town 2+ goals
59%
Chertsey Town 3+ goals
32%
Sholing 1+ goals
47%
Sholing 2+ goals
13%
Sholing 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Chertsey Town (draw refunded)
87%
Sholing (draw refunded)
13%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Chertsey Town at home — creates 2.25, concedes 0.50 · 4 matches

Sholing away — creates 0.75, concedes 1.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Chertsey Town attack 2.25 + Sholing defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 2.00

Sholing attack 0.75 + Chertsey Town defence 0.50 → ÷2 → 0.63

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 70%?"

Chertsey Town scores more
70%
level
20%
Sholing scores more
11%

Chertsey Town at 70% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 70% does not mean "Chertsey Town will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Town
WLLD
Sholing
WLLWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Chertsey Town face Sholing (League #60)

League #60 returns with Chertsey Town hosting Sholing. Match starts March 20, 2027. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.