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Cham vs Eintracht Bamberg — Oberliga - Bayern Nord 2026

Cham
Cham
Preview
14:00
Eintracht Bamberg
Eintracht Bamberg
4/24/2027Oberliga - Bayern NordOberliga - Bayern Nord · Bayern Nord - 29
44%
Cham
model favours
44%24%32%

Eintracht Bamberg raise their game against the top half — 56% wins vs the upper half, only 50% vs the lower

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
60%
over 2.5 goals
61%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 33+ matches

Cham44%
×Draw24%
Eintracht Bamberg32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Cham
1.69
Eintracht Bamberg
1.40

Cham creates 21% more chances

Season form · 68 home / 33 away

creates per match

Cham
2.10
Eintracht Bamberg
1.70

allows per match

Cham
1.10
Eintracht Bamberg
1.27

finishing

Cham+0.00on par
Eintracht Bamberg+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cham ↓

Eintracht Bamberg →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Cham or draw
68%
Cham or Eintracht Bamberg
76%
Draw or Eintracht Bamberg
56%

Winning margin

Cham wins by 2+
23%
Eintracht Bamberg wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Cham 1+ goals
82%
Cham 2+ goals
50%
Cham 3+ goals
24%
Eintracht Bamberg 1+ goals
75%
Eintracht Bamberg 2+ goals
41%
Eintracht Bamberg 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Cham (draw refunded)
58%
Eintracht Bamberg (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cham at home — creates 2.10, concedes 1.10 · 68 matches

Eintracht Bamberg away — creates 1.70, concedes 1.27 · 33 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cham attack 2.10 + Eintracht Bamberg defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.69

Eintracht Bamberg attack 1.70 + Cham defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.40

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Cham scores more
44%
level
24%
Eintracht Bamberg scores more
32%

Cham at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Cham will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Cham
LLL
Bamberg
LWDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Cham vs Eintracht Bamberg — Match Preview

Cham face Eintracht Bamberg on April 24, 2027 in this Oberliga - Bayern Nord fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.