Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

CFR 1907 Cluj vs FCSB — Liga I 2026

CFR 1907 Cluj
CFR 1907 Cluj
FT
4 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
FCSB
FCSB
8/29/2021Liga ILiga I · Round 7Stadionul Dr. Constantin Rădulescu

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 9+ matches

CFR 1907 Cluj44%
×Draw24%
FCSB32%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

CFR 1907 Cluj
1.69
FCSB
1.41

CFR 1907 Cluj creates 20% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 9 away

creates per match

CFR 1907 Cluj
1.64
FCSB
1.75

allows per match

CFR 1907 Cluj
1.06
FCSB
1.75

finishing

CFR 1907 Cluj+0.05on par
FCSB+0.14scores more

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CFR 1907 Cluj ↓

FCSB →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

CFR 1907 Cluj or draw
68%
CFR 1907 Cluj or FCSB
76%
Draw or FCSB
56%

Winning margin

CFR 1907 Cluj wins by 2+
23%
FCSB wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

CFR 1907 Cluj 1+ goals
82%
CFR 1907 Cluj 2+ goals
50%
CFR 1907 Cluj 3+ goals
24%
FCSB 1+ goals
76%
FCSB 2+ goals
41%
FCSB 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

CFR 1907 Cluj (draw refunded)
58%
FCSB (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CFR 1907 Cluj at home — creates 1.64, concedes 1.06 · 13 matches

FCSB away — creates 1.75, concedes 1.75 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CFR 1907 Cluj attack 1.64 + FCSB defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.69

FCSB attack 1.75 + CFR 1907 Cluj defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.41

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

CFR 1907 Cluj scores more
44%
level
24%
FCSB scores more
32%

CFR 1907 Cluj at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "CFR 1907 Cluj will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: CFR 1907 Cluj vs FCSB

CFR 1907 Cluj beat FCSB 4-1 in Liga I on August 29, 2021.

The match was played at Stadionul Dr. Constantin Rădulescu in Cluj-Napoca.