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Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 6+ matches

CF 36%Draw 23%41% Philadelphia
1.58Expected xG1.69

Over / Under 2.5

63%

Over

37%

Under

Both Score

65%

Yes

35%

No

Most Likely Scores

1-1

10%

1-2

9%

2-1

8%

xG Profile (12 home / 6 away matches)

CF Montreal

xG 1.2 · xGA 1.6

-0.37 vs xG

Philadelphia Union

xG 1.78 · xGA 1.97

+0.05 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union — Major League Soccer 2026

Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer·2026📍Saputo Stadium
CF Montreal
CF Montreal
FT
1 – 2
HT: 1 – 0
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
Ivan Jaime 23'
J. Bueno 70'
J. Sery Larsen 55'
Date
Apr 11, 2026, 6:30 PM
Tournament
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 7
Referee
A. Da Silva
Venue
Saputo Stadium, Montreal

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

CF Montreal

Over / Under 2.5

60%over 2.5
  • Over 2.55360%
  • Under 2.53540%

Both teams scored

58%BTTS
  • Yes5158%
  • No3742%

Philadelphia Union

Over / Under 2.5

60%over 2.5
  • Over 2.53560%
  • Under 2.52340%

Both teams scored

57%BTTS
  • Yes3357%
  • No2543%

Player of the match

5
J. Sery LarsenPhiladelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union · D
8.5

Match Events

13'
Iván JaimePenalty cancelled
22'
Thomas Gillier
23'
Ivan Jaime↳ E. Morales
25'
Iván JaimeGoal confirmed
37'
Prince-Osei Owusu
37'
F. Herbers← W. Carmona
43'
Victor Loturi
45+6'
Japhet Sery Larsen
55'
J. Sery Larsen↳ M. Iloski
59'
Olwethu Makhanya
65'
E. Alladoh← B. Bender
70'
T. Aviles← E. Morales
70'
G. Synchuk← D. Thorhallsson
70'
J. Bueno↳ E. Alladoh
81'
A. Bedoya← M. Iloski
81'
P. Ndinga← J. Sery Larsen
82'
M. Opoku←
82'
O. Escobar← V. Loturi
85'
Bruno Damiani
88'
C. Sullivan← I. Vassilev
90+6'
Jovan Lukić

Possession

50%CF

Shots

7CF

Pass accuracy

49%CF

Statistics

CFPhiladelphia
Overview
50%Possession50%
7Total Shots15
0.96Expected Goals (xG)1.07
2Corners4
16Fouls19
Shots
7Total Shots15
4On Target6
3Off Target7
0Blocked2
5Inside Box10
2Outside Box5
Passing
50%Possession50%
341Total Passes328
240Accurate Passes235
70%Pass Accuracy72%
Goalkeeping
4Saves3
0.76Goals Prevented0.76
Discipline
16Fouls19
3Yellow Cards4
4Offsides1

Match Recap: CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union beat CF Montreal 2-1 in Major League Soccer on April 11, 2026.

Goals: Ivan Jaime (23'), J. Sery Larsen (55'), J. Bueno (70').

CF Montreal controlled possession (50%) and registered 7 shots to 15.

The match was played at Saputo Stadium in Montreal.