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Celtic II vs Clydebank — League #731 2026

Celtic II
Celtic II
Preview
18:45
Clydebank
Clydebank
7/28/2026League #731League #731 · Regular Season
40%
Celtic II
model favours
40%21%39%

Celtic II sit 16, Clydebank 4 in the table

brightest fact of this match

2–1
likely score
77%
over 2.5 goals
75%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Celtic II40%
×Draw21%
Clydebank39%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Celtic II
2.04
Clydebank
2.00

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 3 home / 4 away

creates per match

Celtic II
2.33
Clydebank
3.00

allows per match

Celtic II
1.00
Clydebank
1.75

finishing

Celtic II+0.00on par
Clydebank+0.00on par

Total goals

77%Over
  • Over77
  • Under23

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

75%Yes
  • Yes75
  • No25

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Celtic II ↓

Clydebank →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–27%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–25%
3–33%
3–42%
4
4–01%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (7%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
77%23%3.5
57%43%4.5
37%63%

Double chance

Celtic II or draw
61%
Celtic II or Clydebank
79%
Draw or Clydebank
60%

Winning margin

Celtic II wins by 2+
22%
Clydebank wins by 2+
21%

Team goals

Celtic II 1+ goals
87%
Celtic II 2+ goals
60%
Celtic II 3+ goals
33%
Clydebank 1+ goals
86%
Clydebank 2+ goals
59%
Clydebank 3+ goals
32%

Draw no bet

Celtic II (draw refunded)
51%
Clydebank (draw refunded)
49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
68%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Celtic II at home — creates 2.33, concedes 1.00 · 3 matches

Clydebank away — creates 3.00, concedes 1.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Celtic II attack 2.33 + Clydebank defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 2.04

Clydebank attack 3.00 + Celtic II defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 2.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Celtic II scores more
40%
level
21%
Clydebank scores more
39%

Celtic II at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Celtic II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Celtic II and Clydebank have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
II
LLLD
Clydebank
WWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Celtic II vs Clydebank — Match Preview

Celtic II face Clydebank on July 28, 2026 in this League #731 fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.