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Celtic II vs Caledonian Braves — League #731 2026

Celtic II
Celtic II
Preview
18:45
Caledonian Braves
Caledonian Braves
10/16/2026League #731League #731 · Regular Season
50%
Celtic II
model favours
50%23%27%

Celtic II and Caledonian Braves have never met before

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
58%
over 2.5 goals
59%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Celtic II50%
×Draw23%
Caledonian Braves27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Celtic II
1.79
Caledonian Braves
1.25

Celtic II creates 43% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 8 away

creates per match

Celtic II
2.33
Caledonian Braves
1.50

allows per match

Celtic II
1.00
Caledonian Braves
1.25

finishing

Celtic II+0.00on par
Caledonian Braves+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Celtic II ↓

Caledonian Braves →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
58%42%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Celtic II or draw
73%
Celtic II or Caledonian Braves
77%
Draw or Caledonian Braves
50%

Winning margin

Celtic II wins by 2+
27%
Caledonian Braves wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Celtic II 1+ goals
83%
Celtic II 2+ goals
53%
Celtic II 3+ goals
26%
Caledonian Braves 1+ goals
71%
Caledonian Braves 2+ goals
36%
Caledonian Braves 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Celtic II (draw refunded)
65%
Caledonian Braves (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Celtic II at home — creates 2.33, concedes 1.00 · 3 matches

Caledonian Braves away — creates 1.50, concedes 1.25 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Celtic II attack 2.33 + Caledonian Braves defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.79

Caledonian Braves attack 1.50 + Celtic II defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Celtic II scores more
50%
level
23%
Caledonian Braves scores more
27%

Celtic II at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Celtic II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
II
LLLD
Braves
WDLLD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Celtic II vs Caledonian Braves — Match Preview

Celtic II face Caledonian Braves on October 16, 2026 in this League #731 fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.