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Cambodia vs Singapore — AFF Championship 2018

Cambodia
Cambodia
Preview
12:00
Singapore
Singapore
7/24/2026AFF ChampionshipAFF Championship · Group Stage - 1
55%
Cambodia
model favours
55%22%23%

Singapore have won 4 of the last 4 meetings

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
62%
over 2.5 goals
61%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Cambodia55%
×Draw22%
Singapore23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Cambodia
2.00
Singapore
1.22

Cambodia creates 64% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 9 away

creates per match

Cambodia
2.44
Singapore
1.00

allows per match

Cambodia
1.44
Singapore
1.56

finishing

Cambodia+0.00on par
Singapore+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cambodia ↓

Singapore →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Cambodia or draw
77%
Cambodia or Singapore
78%
Draw or Singapore
45%

Winning margin

Cambodia wins by 2+
33%
Singapore wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Cambodia 1+ goals
86%
Cambodia 2+ goals
59%
Cambodia 3+ goals
32%
Singapore 1+ goals
70%
Singapore 2+ goals
34%
Singapore 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Cambodia (draw refunded)
71%
Singapore (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cambodia at home — creates 2.44, concedes 1.44 · 9 matches

Singapore away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.56 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cambodia attack 2.44 + Singapore defence 1.56 → ÷2 → 2.00

Singapore attack 1.00 + Cambodia defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.22

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Cambodia scores more
55%
level
22%
Singapore scores more
23%

Cambodia at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Cambodia will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 meetings

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Cambodia
WWDLL
Singapore
LWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Cambodia host Singapore

July 24, 2026: Cambodia take on Singapore in AFF Championship. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.