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BuxDu vs Jayxun — Pro League A 2026

BuxDu
BuxDu
Preview
14:00
Jayxun
Jayxun
11/1/2026Pro League APro League A · Round 25
61%
BuxDu
model favours
61%21%19%

BuxDu and Jayxun have never met before

brightest fact of this match

2–1
likely score
61%
over 2.5 goals
58%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

BuxDu61%
×Draw21%
Jayxun19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

BuxDu
2.10
Jayxun
1.07

BuxDu creates 96% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 14 away

creates per match

BuxDu
1.50
Jayxun
0.64

allows per match

BuxDu
1.50
Jayxun
2.71

finishing

BuxDu+0.00on par
Jayxun+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

BuxDu ↓

Jayxun →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–19%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–07%
3–17%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

BuxDu or draw
81%
BuxDu or Jayxun
79%
Draw or Jayxun
39%

Winning margin

BuxDu wins by 2+
37%
Jayxun wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

BuxDu 1+ goals
88%
BuxDu 2+ goals
62%
BuxDu 3+ goals
35%
Jayxun 1+ goals
66%
Jayxun 2+ goals
29%
Jayxun 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

BuxDu (draw refunded)
77%
Jayxun (draw refunded)
23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

BuxDu at home — creates 1.50, concedes 1.50 · 6 matches

Jayxun away — creates 0.64, concedes 2.71 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

BuxDu attack 1.50 + Jayxun defence 2.71 → ÷2 → 2.10

Jayxun attack 0.64 + BuxDu defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.07

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

BuxDu scores more
61%
level
21%
Jayxun scores more
19%

BuxDu at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "BuxDu will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
BuxDu
WWWLD
Jayxun
LDLWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

BuxDu vs Jayxun — Match Preview

BuxDu face Jayxun on November 1, 2026 in this Pro League A fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.