BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Magdeburg II — Regionalliga - Nordost 2026
Magdeburg II have won 3 of the last 3 meetings
brightest fact of this match
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 5+ matches
BSG Chemie Leipzig24%Magdeburg II55%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Magdeburg II creates 61% more chances
Season form · 14 home / 5 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Over62
- Under38
3+ goals likely
Both teams score
- Yes61
- No39
Both teams likely to score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
BSG Chemie Leipzig ↓
Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
BSG Chemie Leipzig at home — creates 0.86, concedes 1.57 · 14 matches
Magdeburg II away — creates 2.40, concedes 1.60 · 5 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
BSG Chemie Leipzig attack 0.86 + Magdeburg II defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.23
Magdeburg II attack 2.40 + BSG Chemie Leipzig defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.98
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 55%?"
Magdeburg II at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 55% does not mean "Magdeburg II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Match Insights
- BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 17, Magdeburg II 4 in the table
- Their last 3 meetings averaged 4.3 goals
Based on historical data — not a prediction.
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
3 previous meetings · small sample
SV Babelsberg 03
Greifswalder FC
Hallescher FCMagdeburg II
BFC Preussen
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
Chemnitzer FC
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
FSV Zwickau
Altglienicke
BFC Dynamo
Lokomotive Leipzig
Luckenwalde
ZFC Meuselwitz
Hertha BSC II
Hertha ZehlendorfBSG Chemie Leipzig
EilenburgIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
BSG Chemie Leipzig host Magdeburg II on Sunday, 28 February 2027 at 13:00. The match is part of the Regionalliga - Nordost 2026/2027 season.
Preview: BSG Chemie Leipzig host Magdeburg II
February 28, 2027: BSG Chemie Leipzig take on Magdeburg II in Regionalliga - Nordost. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.
Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.