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BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich — Super League 2018

BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
Preview
16:00
FC Zurich
FC Zurich
10/31/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 12Stadion Wankdorf
Big match
60%
BSC Young Boys
model favours
60%21%19%

Both teams score in 100% of FC Zurich’s matches

brightest fact of this match

2–1
likely score
62%
over 2.5 goals
59%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 147+ matches

BSC Young Boys60%
×Draw21%
FC Zurich19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

BSC Young Boys
2.12
FC Zurich
1.11

BSC Young Boys creates 91% more chances

Season form · 147 home / 147 away

creates per match

BSC Young Boys
2.56
FC Zurich
1.31

allows per match

BSC Young Boys
0.92
FC Zurich
1.67

finishing

BSC Young Boys+0.00on par
FC Zurich+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

BSC Young Boys ↓

FC Zurich →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–19%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

BSC Young Boys or draw
81%
BSC Young Boys or FC Zurich
79%
Draw or FC Zurich
40%

Winning margin

BSC Young Boys wins by 2+
37%
FC Zurich wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

BSC Young Boys 1+ goals
88%
BSC Young Boys 2+ goals
62%
BSC Young Boys 3+ goals
35%
FC Zurich 1+ goals
67%
FC Zurich 2+ goals
30%
FC Zurich 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

BSC Young Boys (draw refunded)
76%
FC Zurich (draw refunded)
24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

BSC Young Boys at home — creates 2.56, concedes 0.92 · 147 matches

FC Zurich away — creates 1.31, concedes 1.67 · 147 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

BSC Young Boys attack 2.56 + FC Zurich defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 2.12

FC Zurich attack 1.31 + BSC Young Boys defence 0.92 → ÷2 → 1.11

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

BSC Young Boys scores more
60%
level
21%
FC Zurich scores more
19%

BSC Young Boys at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "BSC Young Boys will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • FC Zurich score first in only 18% of matches
  • 82% of FC Zurich’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Both sides lean high-scoring (65% and 82% over 2.5)
  • BSC Young Boys score first in only 30% of matches
  • 65% of BSC Young Boys’s matches go over 2.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
BSC Young Boys
Possession-dominant
FC Zurich
Balanced
58%Possession49%
80%Pass accuracy71%
15.3Shots12.1
1.44xGBiggest gap1.13
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
BSC Young BoysFC Zurich

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

6
BSC Young Boys
2
Draws
2
FC Zurich
Avg goals: 3BTTS: 50%
3–03–03–22–13–2

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Boys
WWDDW
Zurich
LLLWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

BSC Young Boys face FC Zurich (Super League)

Super League returns with BSC Young Boys hosting FC Zurich. Match starts October 31, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

BSC Young Boys host FC Zurich at Stadion Wankdorf.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.