Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen — Super League 2018

BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
Preview
15:00
FC ST. Gallen
FC ST. Gallen
10/24/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 11Stadion Wankdorf
Big match
51%
BSC Young Boys
model favours
51%23%27%

FC ST. Gallen have scored in 15 games running

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
61%
over 2.5 goals
62%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 7+ matches

BSC Young Boys51%
×Draw23%
FC ST. Gallen27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

BSC Young Boys
1.88
FC ST. Gallen
1.30

BSC Young Boys creates 45% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 11 away

creates per match

BSC Young Boys
1.78
FC ST. Gallen
1.48

allows per match

BSC Young Boys
1.13
FC ST. Gallen
1.97

finishing

BSC Young Boys-0.49scores less
FC ST. Gallen+0.43scores more

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

BSC Young Boys ↓

FC ST. Gallen →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
61%39%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

BSC Young Boys or draw
73%
BSC Young Boys or FC ST. Gallen
77%
Draw or FC ST. Gallen
49%

Winning margin

BSC Young Boys wins by 2+
29%
FC ST. Gallen wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

BSC Young Boys 1+ goals
85%
BSC Young Boys 2+ goals
56%
BSC Young Boys 3+ goals
29%
FC ST. Gallen 1+ goals
73%
FC ST. Gallen 2+ goals
37%
FC ST. Gallen 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

BSC Young Boys (draw refunded)
66%
FC ST. Gallen (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

BSC Young Boys at home — creates 1.78, concedes 1.13 · 7 matches

FC ST. Gallen away — creates 1.48, concedes 1.97 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

BSC Young Boys attack 1.78 + FC ST. Gallen defence 1.97 → ÷2 → 1.88

FC ST. Gallen attack 1.48 + BSC Young Boys defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 1.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

BSC Young Boys scores more
51%
level
23%
FC ST. Gallen scores more
27%

BSC Young Boys at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "BSC Young Boys will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in 87% of FC ST. Gallen’s matches
  • BSC Young Boys score first in only 30% of matches
  • 73% of FC ST. Gallen’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Both sides lean high-scoring (65% and 73% over 2.5)
  • 65% of BSC Young Boys’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • FC ST. Gallen score first in 60% of matches

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
BSC Young Boys
Possession-dominant
FC ST. Gallen
Attack-heavy
58%Possession48%
80%Pass accuracy70%
15.3Shots16.2
1.44xGBiggest gap1.91
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
BSC Young BoysFC ST. Gallen

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

5
BSC Young Boys
1
Draws
4
FC ST. Gallen
Avg goals: 3.4BTTS: 70%
1–21–24–11–21–0

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Boys
WWDD
Gallen
LLWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: BSC Young Boys host FC ST. Gallen

October 24, 2026: BSC Young Boys take on FC ST. Gallen in Super League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

BSC Young Boys host FC ST. Gallen at Stadion Wankdorf.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.