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BSC Young Boys vs FC Sion — Friendlies Clubs 2026

BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
FT
4 – 3
HT: 2 – 2
FC Sion
FC Sion
1/9/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Stadion Wankdorf

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

BSC Young Boys45%
×Draw20%
FC Sion34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

BSC Young Boys
2.25
FC Sion
1.95

BSC Young Boys creates 15% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 6 away

creates per match

BSC Young Boys
2.50
FC Sion
2.83

allows per match

BSC Young Boys
1.06
FC Sion
2.00

finishing

BSC Young Boys+0.00on par
FC Sion+0.00on par

Total goals

79%Over
  • Over79
  • Under21

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

77%Yes
  • Yes77
  • No23

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

BSC Young Boys ↓

FC Sion →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–03%
1–17%
1–26%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–25%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (7%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
92%8%2.5
79%21%3.5
60%40%4.5
40%60%

Double chance

BSC Young Boys or draw
66%
BSC Young Boys or FC Sion
80%
Draw or FC Sion
55%

Winning margin

BSC Young Boys wins by 2+
26%
FC Sion wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

BSC Young Boys 1+ goals
89%
BSC Young Boys 2+ goals
65%
BSC Young Boys 3+ goals
39%
FC Sion 1+ goals
86%
FC Sion 2+ goals
58%
FC Sion 3+ goals
31%

Draw no bet

BSC Young Boys (draw refunded)
57%
FC Sion (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
70%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

BSC Young Boys at home — creates 2.50, concedes 1.06 · 16 matches

FC Sion away — creates 2.83, concedes 2.00 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

BSC Young Boys attack 2.50 + FC Sion defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.25

FC Sion attack 2.83 + BSC Young Boys defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.95

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

BSC Young Boys scores more
45%
level
20%
FC Sion scores more
34%

BSC Young Boys at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "BSC Young Boys will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: BSC Young Boys 4–3 FC Sion

BSC Young Boys beat FC Sion 4-3 in Friendlies Clubs on January 9, 2024.

The match was played at Stadion Wankdorf in Bern.