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Bryne W vs Kolbotn W — 1. Division Women 2022

Bryne W
Bryne W
Preview
14:00
Kolbotn W
Kolbotn W
8/23/20261. Division Women1. Division Women · Round 15
56%
Kolbotn W
model favours
19%25%56%

Kolbotn W win just 38% against the top half (vs 69% against the bottom)

brightest fact of this match

0–1
likely score
58%
under 2.5 goals
43%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Bryne W19%
×Draw25%
Kolbotn W56%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bryne W
0.79
Kolbotn W
1.58

Kolbotn W creates 100% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 17 away

creates per match

Bryne W
0.71
Kolbotn W
1.88

allows per match

Bryne W
1.29
Kolbotn W
0.88

finishing

Bryne W+0.00on par
Kolbotn W+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Under
  • Under58
  • Over42

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

57%No
  • No57
  • Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bryne W ↓

Kolbotn W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–115%
0–212%
0–36%
0–42%
1
1–07%
1–112%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–03%
2–15%
2–24%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–11%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (15%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
68%32%2.5
42%58%3.5
21%79%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Bryne W or draw
44%
Bryne W or Kolbotn W
75%
Draw or Kolbotn W
81%

Winning margin

Bryne W wins by 2+
6%
Kolbotn W wins by 2+
30%

Team goals

Bryne W 1+ goals
55%
Bryne W 2+ goals
19%
Bryne W 3+ goals
5%
Kolbotn W 1+ goals
79%
Kolbotn W 2+ goals
47%
Kolbotn W 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

Bryne W (draw refunded)
25%
Kolbotn W (draw refunded)
75%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
32%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bryne W at home — creates 0.71, concedes 1.29 · 7 matches

Kolbotn W away — creates 1.88, concedes 0.88 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bryne W attack 0.71 + Kolbotn W defence 0.88 → ÷2 → 0.79

Kolbotn W attack 1.88 + Bryne W defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.58

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Bryne W scores more
19%
level
25%
Kolbotn W scores more
56%

Kolbotn W at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Kolbotn W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
W
LLWWL
W
LLWDD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Bryne W vs Kolbotn W — Match Preview

Bryne W face Kolbotn W on August 23, 2026 in this 1. Division Women fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.