Scoreo

Broxburn Athletic vs Civil Service StrollersLeague #731 2026

65%
Civil Service Strollers
model favours
16%19%65%

Broxburn Athletic and Civil Service Strollers have never met before

brightest fact of this match

1–2
likely score
66%
over 2.5 goals
60%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Broxburn Athletic16%
×Draw19%
Civil Service Strollers65%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Broxburn Athletic
1.08
Civil Service Strollers
2.33

Civil Service Strollers creates 116% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 4 away

creates per match

Broxburn Athletic
0.67
Civil Service Strollers
2.00

allows per match

Broxburn Athletic
2.67
Civil Service Strollers
1.50

finishing

Broxburn Athletic+0.00on par
Civil Service Strollers+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Broxburn Athletic

Civil Service Strollers
0
1
2
3
4
0
003%
018%
029%
037%
044%
1
104%
118%
1210%
138%
144%
2
202%
215%
225%
234%
242%
3
301%
312%
322%
331%
341%
4
400%
410%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–2 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

Broxburn Athletic or draw
35%
Broxburn Athletic or Civil Service Strollers
81%
Draw or Civil Service Strollers
84%

Winning margin

Broxburn Athletic wins by 2+
6%
Civil Service Strollers wins by 2+
42%

Team goals

Broxburn Athletic 1+ goals
66%
Broxburn Athletic 2+ goals
29%
Broxburn Athletic 3+ goals
10%
Civil Service Strollers 1+ goals
90%
Civil Service Strollers 2+ goals
67%
Civil Service Strollers 3+ goals
41%

Draw no bet

Broxburn Athletic (draw refunded)
20%
Civil Service Strollers (draw refunded)
80%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Broxburn Athletic at homecreates 0.67, concedes 2.67 · 3 matches

Civil Service Strollers awaycreates 2.00, concedes 1.50 · 4 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Broxburn Athletic attack 0.67 + Civil Service Strollers defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.08

Civil Service Strollers attack 2.00 + Broxburn Athletic defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 2.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

Broxburn Athletic scores more
16%
level
19%
Civil Service Strollers scores more
65%

Civil Service Strollers at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "Civil Service Strollers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Athletic
LLDLL
Strollers
DLDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Broxburn Athletic host Civil Service Strollers

October 31, 2026: Broxburn Athletic take on Civil Service Strollers in League #731. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.