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Brora Rangers vs Wick Academy — League #730 2026

Brora Rangers
Brora Rangers
FT
5 – 1
Wick Academy
Wick Academy
12/5/2020League #730League #730 · Highland League - 2Dudgeon Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Brora Rangers82%
×Draw11%
Wick Academy7%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Brora Rangers
3.21
Wick Academy
0.84

Brora Rangers creates 282% more chances

Season form · 26 home / 7 away

creates per match

Brora Rangers
3.00
Wick Academy
0.57

allows per match

Brora Rangers
1.12
Wick Academy
3.43

finishing

Brora Rangers+0.00on par
Wick Academy+0.00on par

Total goals

76%Over
  • Over76
  • Under24

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Brora Rangers ↓

Wick Academy →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–12%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–15%
1–22%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–010%
3–18%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–08%
4–17%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 3–0 (10%) · grid covers 81% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
76%24%3.5
56%44%4.5
35%65%

Double chance

Brora Rangers or draw
93%
Brora Rangers or Wick Academy
89%
Draw or Wick Academy
18%

Winning margin

Brora Rangers wins by 2+
64%
Wick Academy wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Brora Rangers 1+ goals
96%
Brora Rangers 2+ goals
82%
Brora Rangers 3+ goals
60%
Wick Academy 1+ goals
57%
Wick Academy 2+ goals
21%
Wick Academy 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Brora Rangers (draw refunded)
93%
Wick Academy (draw refunded)
7%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Brora Rangers at home — creates 3.00, concedes 1.12 · 26 matches

Wick Academy away — creates 0.57, concedes 3.43 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Brora Rangers attack 3.00 + Wick Academy defence 3.43 → ÷2 → 3.21

Wick Academy attack 0.57 + Brora Rangers defence 1.12 → ÷2 → 0.84

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 82%?"

Brora Rangers scores more
82%
level
11%
Wick Academy scores more
7%

Brora Rangers at 82% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 82% does not mean "Brora Rangers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Brora Rangers vs Wick Academy

Brora Rangers beat Wick Academy 5-1 in League #730 on December 5, 2020.

The match was played at Dudgeon Park in Brora.