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Brora Rangers vs Turriff UnitedLeague #730 2026

8/29/2026League #730League #730
Big match
69%
Brora Rangers
model favours
69%18%13%

Brora Rangers score first in only 5% of matches

brightest fact of this match

2–0
likely score
65%
over 2.5 goals
56%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Brora Rangers69%
×Draw18%
Turriff United13%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Brora Rangers
2.40
Turriff United
0.96

Brora Rangers creates 150% more chances

Season form · 26 home / 5 away

creates per match

Brora Rangers
3.00
Turriff United
0.80

allows per match

Brora Rangers
1.12
Turriff United
1.80

finishing

Brora Rangers+0.00on par
Turriff United+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Over
  • Over65
  • Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Brora Rangers

Turriff United
0
1
2
3
4
0
004%
013%
022%
031%
040%
1
108%
118%
124%
131%
140%
2
2010%
2110%
225%
231%
240%
3
308%
318%
324%
331%
340%
4
405%
415%
422%
431%
440%

Most likely 2–0 (10%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
85%15%2.5
65%35%3.5
43%57%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

Brora Rangers or draw
87%
Brora Rangers or Turriff United
82%
Draw or Turriff United
31%

Winning margin

Brora Rangers wins by 2+
46%
Turriff United wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Brora Rangers 1+ goals
91%
Brora Rangers 2+ goals
69%
Brora Rangers 3+ goals
42%
Turriff United 1+ goals
62%
Turriff United 2+ goals
25%
Turriff United 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Brora Rangers (draw refunded)
84%
Turriff United (draw refunded)
16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Brora Rangers at homecreates 3.00, concedes 1.12 · 26 matches

Turriff United awaycreates 0.80, concedes 1.80 · 5 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Brora Rangers attack 3.00 + Turriff United defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 2.40

Turriff United attack 0.80 + Brora Rangers defence 1.12 → ÷2 → 0.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 69%?"

Brora Rangers scores more
69%
level
18%
Turriff United scores more
13%

Brora Rangers at 69% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 69% does not mean "Brora Rangers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Top-of-the-table clash — Brora Rangers 2 vs Turriff United 4
  • Brora Rangers and Turriff United have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Rangers
LLLLL
United
DLWWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Brora Rangers host Turriff United

August 29, 2026: Brora Rangers take on Turriff United in League #730. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.