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Brora Rangers vs Lossiemouth — League #730 2026

Brora Rangers
Brora Rangers
Preview
15:00
Lossiemouth
Lossiemouth
10/31/2026League #730League #730
76%
Brora Rangers
model favours
76%15%9%

Brora Rangers score first in only 5% of matches

brightest fact of this match

2–0
likely score
62%
over 2.5 goals
47%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Brora Rangers76%
×Draw15%
Lossiemouth9%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Brora Rangers
2.50
Lossiemouth
0.73

Brora Rangers creates 242% more chances

Season form · 26 home / 3 away

creates per match

Brora Rangers
3.00
Lossiemouth
0.33

allows per match

Brora Rangers
1.12
Lossiemouth
2.00

finishing

Brora Rangers+0.00on par
Lossiemouth+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Brora Rangers ↓

Lossiemouth →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–13%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–17%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–010%
3–18%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–07%
4–15%
4–22%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (13%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
40%60%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Brora Rangers or draw
91%
Brora Rangers or Lossiemouth
85%
Draw or Lossiemouth
24%

Winning margin

Brora Rangers wins by 2+
53%
Lossiemouth wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Brora Rangers 1+ goals
92%
Brora Rangers 2+ goals
71%
Brora Rangers 3+ goals
45%
Lossiemouth 1+ goals
52%
Lossiemouth 2+ goals
17%
Lossiemouth 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Brora Rangers (draw refunded)
89%
Lossiemouth (draw refunded)
11%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
40%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Brora Rangers at home — creates 3.00, concedes 1.12 · 26 matches

Lossiemouth away — creates 0.33, concedes 2.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Brora Rangers attack 3.00 + Lossiemouth defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.50

Lossiemouth attack 0.33 + Brora Rangers defence 1.12 → ÷2 → 0.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 76%?"

Brora Rangers scores more
76%
level
15%
Lossiemouth scores more
9%

Brora Rangers at 76% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 76% does not mean "Brora Rangers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Brora Rangers sit 2, Lossiemouth 16 in the table

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Rangers
LLLLL
Lossiemouth
LLLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Brora Rangers vs Lossiemouth — Match Preview

Brora Rangers face Lossiemouth on October 31, 2026 in this League #730 fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.