Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 19+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
44%
Over
56%
Under
Both Score
49%
Yes
51%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13%
1-0
12%
0-1
9%
xG Profile (19 home / 20 away matches)
Brighton
xG 1.53 · xGA 1.12
+0.05 vs xG
Newcastle
xG 1 · xGA 1.24
-0.15 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Brighton vs Newcastle — Premier League 2026
Premier League·2026📍American Express Stadium- Date
- May 4, 2025, 1:00 PM
- Tournament
- Premier League · Regular Season - 35
- Referee
- C. Pawson
- Venue
- American Express Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Brighton
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.55655%
- Under 2.54645%
Both teams scored
- Yes5655%
- No4645%
Newcastle
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.56762%
- Under 2.54138%
Both teams scored
- Yes6762%
- No4138%
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Arsenal
Manchester City
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Brighton
Brentford
Chelsea
Fulham
Newcastle
Everton
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
West Ham
Burnley
WolvesIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Brighton host Newcastle on Sunday, 4 May 2025 at 13:00. The match is part of the Premier League 2026/2027 season.
Premier League: Brighton 1–1 Newcastle
Brighton and Newcastle drew 1-1 in Premier League on May 4, 2025.
The match was played at American Express Stadium in Falmer, East Sussex.