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Brattvåg vs Mjondalen — 2. Division - Group 1 2026

Brattvåg
Brattvåg
Preview
12:00
Mjondalen
Mjondalen
7/25/20262. Division - Group 12. Division - Group 1 · Round 13
Big match
55%
Brattvåg
model favours
55%22%23%

Brattvåg score first in only 31% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
61%
over 2.5 goals
59%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Brattvåg55%
×Draw22%
Mjondalen23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Brattvåg
1.96
Mjondalen
1.18

Brattvåg creates 66% more chances

Season form · 75 home / 6 away

creates per match

Brattvåg
2.24
Mjondalen
1.00

allows per match

Brattvåg
1.35
Mjondalen
1.67

finishing

Brattvåg+0.00on par
Mjondalen+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Brattvåg ↓

Mjondalen →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–110%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
38%62%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Brattvåg or draw
77%
Brattvåg or Mjondalen
78%
Draw or Mjondalen
45%

Winning margin

Brattvåg wins by 2+
32%
Mjondalen wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Brattvåg 1+ goals
86%
Brattvåg 2+ goals
58%
Brattvåg 3+ goals
31%
Mjondalen 1+ goals
69%
Mjondalen 2+ goals
33%
Mjondalen 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Brattvåg (draw refunded)
71%
Mjondalen (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Brattvåg at home — creates 2.24, concedes 1.35 · 75 matches

Mjondalen away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.67 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Brattvåg attack 2.24 + Mjondalen defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.96

Mjondalen attack 1.00 + Brattvåg defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Brattvåg scores more
55%
level
22%
Mjondalen scores more
23%

Brattvåg at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Brattvåg will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Top-of-the-table clash — Brattvåg 2 vs Mjondalen 4
  • Brattvåg and Mjondalen have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Brattvåg
DLWLW
Mjondalen
WWDLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Brattvåg host Mjondalen

July 25, 2026: Brattvåg take on Mjondalen in 2. Division - Group 1. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.