Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Botafogo U17 vs Vasco U17 — Brasileiro U17 2026

Botafogo U17
Botafogo U17
Preview
20:00
Vasco U17
Vasco U17
9/8/2026Brasileiro U17Brasileiro U17 · Round 16
44%
Botafogo U17
model favours
44%22%34%

Botafogo U17 score first in only 17% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
71%
over 2.5 goals
71%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Botafogo U1744%
×Draw22%
Vasco U1734%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Botafogo U17
1.97
Vasco U17
1.73

Botafogo U17 creates 14% more chances

Season form · 18 home / 15 away

creates per match

Botafogo U17
2.33
Vasco U17
1.73

allows per match

Botafogo U17
1.72
Vasco U17
1.60

finishing

Botafogo U17+0.00on par
Vasco U17+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 71Under: 2971%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 71No: 2971%Yes
  • Yes71
  • No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Botafogo U17 ↓

Vasco U17 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–18%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
50%50%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

Botafogo U17 or draw
66%
Botafogo U17 or Vasco U17
78%
Draw or Vasco U17
56%

Winning margin

Botafogo U17 wins by 2+
24%
Vasco U17 wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Botafogo U17 1+ goals
86%
Botafogo U17 2+ goals
58%
Botafogo U17 3+ goals
31%
Vasco U17 1+ goals
82%
Vasco U17 2+ goals
52%
Vasco U17 3+ goals
25%

Draw no bet

Botafogo U17 (draw refunded)
56%
Vasco U17 (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
62%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Botafogo U17 at home — creates 2.33, concedes 1.72 · 18 matches

Vasco U17 away — creates 1.73, concedes 1.60 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Botafogo U17 attack 2.33 + Vasco U17 defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.97

Vasco U17 attack 1.73 + Botafogo U17 defence 1.72 → ÷2 → 1.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Botafogo U17 scores more
44%
level
22%
Vasco U17 scores more
34%

Botafogo U17 at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Botafogo U17 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 79% of Vasco U17’s matches stay under 2.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
U17
DWLWL
U17
LLDWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Botafogo U17 host Vasco U17

September 8, 2026: Botafogo U17 take on Vasco U17 in Brasileiro U17. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.