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Botafogo U17 vs Juventude U17 — Brasileiro U17 2026

Botafogo U17
Botafogo U17
Preview
20:00
Juventude U17
Juventude U17
8/22/2026Brasileiro U17Brasileiro U17 · Round 13
65%
Botafogo U17
model favours
65%18%17%

Juventude U17 score first in only 6% of matches

brightest fact of this match

2–1
likely score
72%
over 2.5 goals
64%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Botafogo U1765%
×Draw18%
Juventude U1717%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Botafogo U17
2.52
Juventude U17
1.21

Botafogo U17 creates 108% more chances

Season form · 18 home / 14 away

creates per match

Botafogo U17
2.33
Juventude U17
0.71

allows per match

Botafogo U17
1.72
Juventude U17
2.71

finishing

Botafogo U17+0.00on par
Juventude U17+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 72Under: 2872%Over
  • Over72
  • Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 64No: 3664%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Botafogo U17 ↓

Juventude U17 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–17%
1–24%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–18%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–04%
4–15%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
88%12%2.5
72%28%3.5
50%50%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

Botafogo U17 or draw
83%
Botafogo U17 or Juventude U17
82%
Draw or Juventude U17
35%

Winning margin

Botafogo U17 wins by 2+
44%
Juventude U17 wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Botafogo U17 1+ goals
92%
Botafogo U17 2+ goals
71%
Botafogo U17 3+ goals
45%
Juventude U17 1+ goals
70%
Juventude U17 2+ goals
34%
Juventude U17 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Botafogo U17 (draw refunded)
80%
Juventude U17 (draw refunded)
20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
57%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Botafogo U17 at home — creates 2.33, concedes 1.72 · 18 matches

Juventude U17 away — creates 0.71, concedes 2.71 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Botafogo U17 attack 2.33 + Juventude U17 defence 2.71 → ÷2 → 2.52

Juventude U17 attack 0.71 + Botafogo U17 defence 1.72 → ÷2 → 1.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

Botafogo U17 scores more
65%
level
18%
Juventude U17 scores more
17%

Botafogo U17 at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "Botafogo U17 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Botafogo U17 score first in only 17% of matches

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
U17
DWLWL
U17
DLDDW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Botafogo U17 host Juventude U17

August 22, 2026: Botafogo U17 take on Juventude U17 in Brasileiro U17. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.