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Boreham Wood vs Yeovil Town — League #43 2026

Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood
Preview
14:00
Yeovil Town
Yeovil Town
4/10/2027League #43League #43 · Round 44Meadow Park
Big match
47%
Boreham Wood
model favours
47%25%27%

Both teams score in 100% of Boreham Wood’s matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
51%
over 2.5 goals
54%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Boreham Wood47%
×Draw25%
Yeovil Town27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Boreham Wood
1.57
Yeovil Town
1.13

Boreham Wood creates 39% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 13 away

creates per match

Boreham Wood
1.15
Yeovil Town
1.00

allows per match

Boreham Wood
1.25
Yeovil Town
2.00

finishing

Boreham Wood+0.00on par
Yeovil Town+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Boreham Wood ↓

Yeovil Town →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–18%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
51%49%3.5
28%72%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Boreham Wood or draw
73%
Boreham Wood or Yeovil Town
75%
Draw or Yeovil Town
53%

Winning margin

Boreham Wood wins by 2+
24%
Yeovil Town wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Boreham Wood 1+ goals
79%
Boreham Wood 2+ goals
46%
Boreham Wood 3+ goals
21%
Yeovil Town 1+ goals
68%
Yeovil Town 2+ goals
31%
Yeovil Town 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Boreham Wood (draw refunded)
63%
Yeovil Town (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Boreham Wood at home — creates 1.15, concedes 1.25 · 20 matches

Yeovil Town away — creates 1.00, concedes 2.00 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Boreham Wood attack 1.15 + Yeovil Town defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.57

Yeovil Town attack 1.00 + Boreham Wood defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Boreham Wood scores more
47%
level
25%
Yeovil Town scores more
27%

Boreham Wood at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Boreham Wood will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in 100% of Yeovil Town’s matches
  • Yeovil Town score first in only 18% of matches
  • Both sides lean high-scoring (75% and 82% over 2.5)
  • Boreham Wood have scored in 11 games running
  • 82% of Yeovil Town’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Boreham Wood are unbeaten in 5 straight

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Wood
WDWWW
Town
WDWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Boreham Wood host Yeovil Town

April 10, 2027: Boreham Wood take on Yeovil Town in League #43. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Boreham Wood host Yeovil Town at Meadow Park.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.