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Borac Banja Luka vs Petrocub — UEFA Europa Conference League 2026

Borac Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka
Preview
17:00
Petrocub
Petrocub
7/23/2026UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying RoundGradski stadion Banja Luka
50%
Borac Banja Luka
model favours
50%27%24%

Borac Banja Luka and Petrocub have never met before

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
58%
under 2.5 goals
46%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Borac Banja Luka50%
×Draw27%
Petrocub24%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Borac Banja Luka
1.46
Petrocub
0.91

Borac Banja Luka creates 60% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 11 away

creates per match

Borac Banja Luka
1.00
Petrocub
0.82

allows per match

Borac Banja Luka
1.00
Petrocub
1.91

finishing

Borac Banja Luka+0.00on par
Petrocub+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Under
  • Under58
  • Over42

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Borac Banja Luka ↓

Petrocub →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–19%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
68%32%2.5
42%58%3.5
21%79%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Borac Banja Luka or draw
76%
Borac Banja Luka or Petrocub
73%
Draw or Petrocub
50%

Winning margin

Borac Banja Luka wins by 2+
25%
Petrocub wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Borac Banja Luka 1+ goals
77%
Borac Banja Luka 2+ goals
43%
Borac Banja Luka 3+ goals
18%
Petrocub 1+ goals
60%
Petrocub 2+ goals
23%
Petrocub 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Borac Banja Luka (draw refunded)
68%
Petrocub (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
33%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Borac Banja Luka at home — creates 1.00, concedes 1.00 · 9 matches

Petrocub away — creates 0.82, concedes 1.91 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Borac Banja Luka attack 1.00 + Petrocub defence 1.91 → ÷2 → 1.46

Petrocub attack 0.82 + Borac Banja Luka defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.91

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Borac Banja Luka scores more
50%
level
27%
Petrocub scores more
24%

Borac Banja Luka at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Borac Banja Luka will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Luka
LDLDW
Petrocub
LDDWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Borac Banja Luka host Petrocub

July 23, 2026: Borac Banja Luka take on Petrocub in UEFA Europa Conference League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Borac Banja Luka host Petrocub at Gradski stadion Banja Luka.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.