Bohemians 1905 0–0 Slavia Praha: Result & Stats

Bohemians 1905

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Slavia Praha

4/25/2021

Czech Liga · Round 29Stadion Ďolíček

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 15+ matches

Bohemians 190532%

×Draw25%

Slavia Praha43%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Bohemians 1905Expected goals in this matchSlavia Praha

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.27

1.53

Bohemians 1905

1.27

Slavia Praha

1.53

Slavia Praha creates 20% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 19 away

1.48

creates per match

1.67

1.40

allows per match

1.05

creates per match

Bohemians 1905

1.48

Slavia Praha

1.67

allows per match

Bohemians 1905

1.40

Slavia Praha

1.05

-0.55scores less than expected

finishing

+0.22scores more than expected

finishing

Bohemians 1905-0.55scores less

Slavia Praha+0.22scores more

Total goals

Over53
Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes56
No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bohemians 1905 ↓

Slavia Praha →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–19%

0–27%

0–34%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–112%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

53%47%3.5

31%69%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Bohemians 1905 or draw

57%

Bohemians 1905 or Slavia Praha

75%

Draw or Slavia Praha

68%

Winning margin

Bohemians 1905 wins by 2+

13%

Slavia Praha wins by 2+

21%

Team goals

Bohemians 1905 1+ goals

72%

Bohemians 1905 2+ goals

36%

Bohemians 1905 3+ goals

14%

Slavia Praha 1+ goals

78%

Slavia Praha 2+ goals

45%

Slavia Praha 3+ goals

20%

Draw no bet

Bohemians 1905 (draw refunded)

42%

Slavia Praha (draw refunded)

58%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

44%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bohemians 1905 at home — creates 1.48, concedes 1.40 · 15 matches

Slavia Praha away — creates 1.67, concedes 1.05 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bohemians 1905 attack 1.48 + Slavia Praha defence 1.05 → ÷2 → 1.27

Slavia Praha attack 1.67 + Bohemians 1905 defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.53

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Bohemians 1905 scores more

32%

level

25%

Slavia Praha scores more

43%

Slavia Praha at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Slavia Praha will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

18'

Daniel Krch

31'

V. Novák← D. Köstl

38'

Jiří Bederka

61'

I. Traoré← N. Stanciu

61'

M. van Buren← J. Hromada

71'

P. Osmančík← T. Schumacher

71'

74'

77'

86'

86'

Abdulla Yusuf Helal← O. Dorley

90'

Abdulla Yusuf Helal

Shots

Statistics

BohemiansSlavia

Overview

2Total Shots6

5Corners8

19Fouls8

Shots

2Total Shots6

2Off Target6

Discipline

19Fouls8

3Yellow Cards1

0Red Cards0

2Offsides2

Czech Liga: Bohemians 1905 0–0 Slavia Praha

Bohemians 1905 and Slavia Praha drew 0-0 in Czech Liga on April 25, 2021.

The match was played at Stadion Ďolíček in Praha.

Bohemians 1905 vs Slavia Praha — Czech Liga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Shots

Statistics

Czech Liga: Bohemians 1905 0–0 Slavia Praha