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Boeun Sangmu W vs Incheon Red Angels W — WK-League 2026

Boeun Sangmu W
Boeun Sangmu W
Preview
05:00
Incheon Red Angels W
Incheon Red Angels W
10/31/2026WK-LeagueWK-League · Round 28
Big match
55%
Incheon Red Angels W
model favours
21%25%55%

Incheon Red Angels W score first in only 11% of matches

brightest fact of this match

0–1
likely score
55%
under 2.5 goals
47%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 77+ matches

Boeun Sangmu W21%
×Draw25%
Incheon Red Angels W55%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Boeun Sangmu W
0.88
Incheon Red Angels W
1.61

Incheon Red Angels W creates 83% more chances

Season form · 77 home / 80 away

creates per match

Boeun Sangmu W
0.95
Incheon Red Angels W
1.66

allows per match

Boeun Sangmu W
1.57
Incheon Red Angels W
0.80

finishing

Boeun Sangmu W+0.00on par
Incheon Red Angels W+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Under
  • Under55
  • Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Boeun Sangmu W ↓

Incheon Red Angels W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–113%
0–211%
0–36%
0–42%
1
1–07%
1–112%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–03%
2–15%
2–24%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
45%55%3.5
24%76%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Boeun Sangmu W or draw
45%
Boeun Sangmu W or Incheon Red Angels W
75%
Draw or Incheon Red Angels W
79%

Winning margin

Boeun Sangmu W wins by 2+
7%
Incheon Red Angels W wins by 2+
29%

Team goals

Boeun Sangmu W 1+ goals
59%
Boeun Sangmu W 2+ goals
22%
Boeun Sangmu W 3+ goals
6%
Incheon Red Angels W 1+ goals
80%
Incheon Red Angels W 2+ goals
48%
Incheon Red Angels W 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

Boeun Sangmu W (draw refunded)
27%
Incheon Red Angels W (draw refunded)
73%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
35%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Boeun Sangmu W at home — creates 0.95, concedes 1.57 · 77 matches

Incheon Red Angels W away — creates 1.66, concedes 0.80 · 80 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Boeun Sangmu W attack 0.95 + Incheon Red Angels W defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 0.88

Incheon Red Angels W attack 1.66 + Boeun Sangmu W defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.61

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Boeun Sangmu W scores more
21%
level
25%
Incheon Red Angels W scores more
55%

Incheon Red Angels W at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Incheon Red Angels W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Boeun Sangmu W score first in only 24% of matches

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
W
WWDL
W
LDWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Boeun Sangmu W face Incheon Red Angels W (WK-League)

WK-League returns with Boeun Sangmu W hosting Incheon Red Angels W. Match starts October 31, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.