Bochum U19 vs Köln U19 — DFB Junioren Pokal 2020
DFB Junioren Pokal · Round of 64
Köln U19 have won 7 of the last 9 meetings
brightest fact of this match
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 4+ matches
Bochum U1935%Köln U1946%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Köln U19 creates 15% more chances
Season form · 4 home / 6 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Over83
- Under17
3+ goals likely
Both teams score
- Yes80
- No20
Both teams likely to score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Bochum U19 ↓
Most likely 1–2 (7%) · grid covers 85% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Bochum U19 at home — creates 3.25, concedes 1.25 · 4 matches
Köln U19 away — creates 3.67, concedes 1.00 · 6 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Bochum U19 attack 3.25 + Köln U19 defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 2.13
Köln U19 attack 3.67 + Bochum U19 defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 2.46
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 46%?"
Köln U19 at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 46% does not mean "Köln U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Match Insights
- Their last 9 meetings averaged 3.7 goals
Based on historical data — not a prediction.
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
Bochum U19 host Köln U19 on Saturday, 1 August 2026 at 15:00. The match is part of the DFB Junioren Pokal 2020/2021 season.
Preview: Bochum U19 host Köln U19
August 1, 2026: Bochum U19 take on Köln U19 in DFB Junioren Pokal. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.
Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.